• The Forex, Binary Options Forum - welcomes you to our Community!

    DigitalCashPalace Forum is dedicated to discussions about Forex, Binary Options, commodities, stocks related.

    Please take a look around, and feel free to .

Market analysis and trade recommendations by FBS

NZD/USD: kiwi caught a Bat
3/13/2017

On the NZD/USD daily chart, target 88.6% in the "Bat" pattern has been implemented. At the present time, this pattern can be transformed into 5-0. This implies a 50% correction in the direction of 0.7070 and restoration of the downtrend.

Screenshot_2017_03_13_07_51_34.png


On the NZD/USD hourly chart, there is consolidation after the breakout of the downtrend. There can be an accumulation of long positions or closing of short positions by the major market participants. To develop a corrective movement, the "bulls" will need to test the resistance at 0.6955.

Screenshot_2017_03_13_07_51_48.png


Recommendation: BUY 0,6955 SL 0,69 TP 0,707.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12825
 
GBP/USD: pound entered into channel Tenkan-Kijun
3/13/2017

Technical levels: support – 1.2160; resistance – 1.2200/15 .

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell — 1.2200; SL — 1.2220; TP1 — 1.2100; TP2 — 1.2060.

Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud, falling Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are in the channel Tenkan-Kijun.

02-gbpusdh4(79).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12826
 
AUD/USD: correction may continue to Cloud
3/13/2017

Technical levels: support – 0.7540, 0.7490; resistance – 0.7580, 0.7610.

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell — 0.7590; SL — 0.7610; TP1 — 0.7540; TP2 — 0.7480.

Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud, but rising Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are breakout the Kijun-sen.

03-audusdh4(87).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12827
 
Morning brief for March 13
3/13/2017

The US dollar weakened against its major peers at the beginning of this eventful week with BoE, BoJ, Fed’s monetary policy settings, G20 meeting, a potentially divisive election in the Netherlands.

EUR/USD is trading above 1.0700. The European currency hit the 1.0640 – 1.0690 levels after the ECB officials were said to have considered their ability to hike before the expiration of QE program. The pair may continue its rally towards 1.0750/1.0800. A further extension will be challenged by the political events and broad strengthening of USD. Worries about EU future remain in place as we approach Wednesday’s parliamentary election in the Netherlands with odds that far-right party manages to win a substantial share of votes. Today keep in focus the ECB President Draghi’s speech. He will deliver an opening address at an entrepreneurship conference in Frankfurt; the ECB monetary policy decision might be discussed.

Aussie led gains against its American counterpart haven risen to 0.7560. The off for further gains are still unclear. We would expect AUD consolidating in the range of 0.7490/0.7620 until G20 meeting, the first meeting with participation of the Trump’s administration representative. Protectionist trade policies might be on the agenda. The country leaders may also voice their intentions to reduce trade imbalances.

Kiwi showed some strength in the Asian session haven risen to 0.6940. We don’t expect a further extension from NZD/USD currency pair. NZ dollar will likely be driven by its US counterpart in the course of the week. In the meanwhile, the pair will likely be trading sideways within 0.6880/0.6980 levels.

USD/JPY slipped to 114.70 on the session. Earlier this morning we had Japan’s PPI edging higher and disappointing core machine orders release. Today’s economic calendar for the pair is fairly light. So, the trading will be rather subdued without massive peaks and troughs.

GBP/USD ticked up to 1.2180. The main focus of this week will the BoE meeting scheduled for March 16. Most market analysts expect BoE not changing its current monetary policy stance. Today, the house of Commons is set to debate and vote over whether to accept the amendments introduced by the upper chamber to the draft law granting UK PM Theresa May the power to trigger Brexit. In the case of the positive vote, Ms.May will be able to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty as soon as Tuesday which allows her to start talks with the EU on April 6.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12828
 
EUR/USD: bulls going even higher
3/13/2017

13-3-2017-EUR-H4.jpg


Bulls faced a resistance at 1.0713, but the market is likely going to continue moving up towards the next resistance at 1.0732 – 1.0754. If a pullback from this area happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have a downward correction, so we should keep an eye on a support at 1.0678 – 1.0655 as a possible bearish target.

13-3-2017-EUR-H1.png


The price is consolidating between the levels 1.0698 – 1.0707. Meanwhile, the pair is likely going to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.0732 – 1.0739 during the day. However, if we see a pullback from these levels, bears will probably try to reach a support at 1.0678 – 1.0666.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12829
 
GBP/USD: support waiting for bears
3/13/2017

13-3-2017-GBP-H4.png


The pair is moving up and down between the levels 1.2179 – 1.2048. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.2198 – 1.2231 in the short term. If a pullback from this area be on the table, there’ll be a chance to have a decline towards a support 1.2120 – 1.2106.

13-3-2017-GBP-H1.png


The 34 Moving Average has been broken. So, the price is likely going to test the 89 Moving Average during the day. If this line acts as a resistance, bears will probably try to achieve the nearest support at 1.2138 – 1.2120.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12830
 
USD/JPY: outlook for March 13-17
3/13/2017

USD/JPY spiked to 115.50 in the course of the past week but failed to hold its position on Friday after the US job market report.
The Bank of Japan will announce its rate decision on Thursday. According to surveys of market analysts, the bank will leave its policy unchanged refusing to provide additional stimulus to the stubbornly stagnating economy. The BoJ’s preferred measure of consumer prices has risen in January for the first time since 2015 rekindling some hopes that the inflation will start inching towards 2% target. The main focus of the meeting will be on the further BoJ’s undertakings (whether there will be a reduction of bond purchasing program; whether the bank revamps its present monetary policy stance to hit its mandate targets).

Before we hear from the BOJ though, the US Federal Reserve will first take the stage and announce its rate decision on Wednesday, March 15. The markets are pricing almost 100% chance of the rate hike. If FOMC agrees to raise the interest rate, the greenback will remain supported. Whether it will be able to continue rising will depend on the Fed’s economic projections and the market’s expectations of the Fed’s future actions. In contrast, If Fed refuses to change its benchmark, it will result in a massive market’s backlash. We don’t think that the second scenario is very likely. Another key event of the week that might influence the USD/JPY exchange rate is G20 meeting scheduled for March 17-18: finance ministers and central bankers of the world’s leading economies may comment on currencies.

After the rapid drop from 115.50, the USD may have moved into a consolidation phase at least for the first part of this eventful week. The pair will probably trade in the 113.10-115.10 range (the borders of the Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe). A break of the upper level will push quotes higher towards resistance at 115.60, 116.40 and 118.60 (this year’s high). A break of the important support at 114.00 (50-day MA) will greatly improve the odds for the further decline towards the nearest supports at 112.85 (100-day MA) and 111.20 (38.2% Fibo retracement level from the last-year low).

USDJPYDaily(35).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12832
 
USD/CAD: outlook for March 13-17
3/13/2017

USD/CAD spiked to its highest levels since December 29 thanks to growing expectation of the Fed’s March rate hikes and falling oil prices. An ultra-strong ADP jobs report caused the market to price in an upbeat NFP release which resulted in a US dollar decline on Friday despite a strong reading.

Next week, USD/CAD will be dominated by the trend in the US dollar as the economic calendar of its Canadian counterpart is light. Out of Canada there will foreign security purchases and manufacturing data reports both released after the major event of the week – the FOMC meeting scheduled for March 15. Pay attention to the US inflation figures and retail sales scheduled for release before the Fed’s interest rate announcement. Nearer the end of the week, the focus will shift to G20 meeting where Trump’s administration protectionism and USD appreciation will likely be discussed.

Technically, a bearish Friday’s engulfing candle hints at the correction towards the nearest support at 1.3420 (50 H4 MA), 1.3280 (upper border of the Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe). On the upside, a break of the resistance at 1.3500 will allow us to target a last year December peak at 1.3595. Before hitting this level, the prices will need to break a very strong resistance at 1.3570 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud on the weekly timeframe)

USDCADDaily(10).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12833
 
AUD/USD: outlook for March 13-17
3/13/2017

Australian dollar slid to 0.7490 in the past week pressured by surging US bond yields and weaker commodity prices. On Friday, Aussie regained some of its weekly losses after monthly US job report and rose to 0.7555.

The main focus of this week will be on the FOMC and G20 meetings scheduled for Wednesday and Friday respectively. Ahead of the Fed’s rate announcement, the US CPI report will reveal whether inflation rate is still surging at a rapid pace that has been seen as of late. US building permits, unemployment claims, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index will be released towards the end of the week, after the Fed’s rate decision. The economic calendar for Australian dollar will be extremely light with only labor data coming on March 16. Overall, it seems that this week the greenback will be a main trendsetter in the AUD/USD currency pair.

After Friday’s rebound, Aussie can move further towards the nearest resistances at 0.7615, 0.7660. However, with growing probability of the rate hike, a further upside in AUD/USD will be complicated. A pullback towards the supports at 0.7530 (200-day MA), 0.7490 (March 9 low) and 0.7468 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe) is not ruled out.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12834
 
Hetty Green – the Witch of Wall Street
3/13/2017

UJfJ62DcSg_7E-B4ZLQp2A-Ke-pri-la-Hetty-Green-do-banky-alebo-na-burzu-udia-odtia-utekali.jpg


Every trader has a special itch for money. We don’t want to say that it’s bad. For people who work in finance having an earnest interest in money is a necessity. In this article, we would like to condemn misers, those whose ultimate goal in life is money accumulation, those whose gimmy is insatiable. Beware of becoming such a person, because extremely greedy people eventually come to a sticky end. To prove this, we’ve decided to tell you the story of the woman who is known as the world’s greatest miser of all times – the financier Hetty Green.

Ms. Green was a really talented savvy financier, one of the first women who turned a fortune on Wall Street. A smart manager of her own funds, she managed to become a major player at the New York Stock Exchange. Wall Streeters watched in astonished amazement as the rumpled, dowdy and dirty woman opened large positions in the chaotic totally unpredictable stock market, and made money almost every time. Playing in the stock market was Hetty’s self-indulgent preoccupation. Her real passion were mortgages. She also enjoyed lending money to bankers and brokerage houses. She started out with only $6 mln and turned this sum into the real fortune - $100 mln by the time of her death. Really impressive, eh? Yes, Hetty Green was a woman a century ahead of her time. I bet she would have become a great hedge fund or private equity manager. From all that has been said above, it would seem that we should praise this woman for her undertakings, admire her personality and wonder her ability to manage financial affairs. And we do give a proper respect to her talents. But we also feel obliged to point out at some seamy sides of her life.

hattygreen.jpg


Historians picture Ms. Green as wicked, greedy, extremely frugal woman with dowdy appearance, negligent to hygiene and to her surroundings. It is hard to describe the extreme of her miserliness in our such a tiny little article as ours. Stories circulate about Green’s stinginess. She was believed to wear the only black dress. She fought with everyone over money and how much she has to pay; she lined her son’s shoes and clothes with paper in wintertime. When she took her skirts to the laundry, she insisted on washing only the hems to save up more money. When her son, Ned, hurt his knee in a sledding accident, Green refused to get him a proper medical attention, because it was too costly. The boy grew up lame until in his teenage years, the leg became gangrenous and had to be amputated. When her beloved husband got bankrupt she refused to cover his debts. Green took her kids and moved to Brooklyn having decided to rent a flat in order not to pay higher taxes. Since then she went to her Wall Street office every morning at 7 am. in her ragged filthy dress wearing a black veil over her hat. Her contemporaries dubbed her a witch of Wall Street. She was watching every penny; her weekly expenses never exceeded $4 – 5; every morning she ate a dried tasteless oatmeal having heated it on a someone’s radiator in her Wall Street Office. The list of Green’s mean things can be extended. Here we’ve presented just a small number of them. But even with that, you got an idea. Our extreme greediness, avarice may make us insane, wicked people despised by the society and her nearest.

The moral of this story is following: be moderate in your wishes to earn more (you’re not Hetty Green, who was so lucky that didn’t suffer great financial losses; nowadays, traders are more exposed to the risk of losing all their money), trade wisely and don’t make the money accumulation the only goal of your life.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12835
 
EUR/USD: "Engulfing" on the "Window"
3/13/2017

1303eurusdH4.png


We’ve got an “Engulfing” pattern on the upper “Window”. So, the market is likely going to test the 144 Moving Average in the short term. If a pullback from this line happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bullish price movement.

1303eurusdH1.png


There’s a bearish “Engulfing”, which has been confirmed enough. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the lower “Window” in the short term.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12836
 
USD/JPY: bearish "Harami"
3/13/2017

1303usdjpyH4.png


There’s a confirmed bearish “Harami”, so the price is likely going to test the nearest support. If a pullback from this level happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have a local correction towards the upper “Window”

1303usdjpyH1.png


The last “Doji” and “Tower” led to the current decline. However, there’s a bullish “Belt Hold”, but a confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak. So, bulls are likely going to test the closest “Window”, which could be a departure point to another decline.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12837
 
EUR/USD: wave [ii] ended
3/13/2017

Image20170313172208001.png


We’ve got a pullback from 7/8 MM Level, so wave [ii] has been ended. Previously, a wedge in wave was formed. Therefore, the market is likely going to decline in the short term. The main intraday target is 5/8 MM Level.

Image20170313172208002.png


The last bullish impulse has been ended on 7/8 MM Level, which was a departure point for wave i. In this case, bears are likely going to deliver wave iii of (i) during the day, so we should keep an eye on 4/8 MM Level as a possible intraday target.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12838
 
AUD/JPY rising inside impulse wave 3, (3)
3/13/2017

AUD/JPY rising inside impulse wave 3, (3)
Next buy target – 87.40

AUD/JPY continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave 3, which started earlier from the support area lying between the support level 86.00 (which also previously stopped the ABC correction (2), as can be seen below), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp intermediate impulse wave (1) from the end of December.

AUD/JPY is expected to rise in the active impulse wave 3, (3) and ③ toward the next buy target at the next resistance level 87.40 (top of the previous minor impulse wave 1).

AUDJPY_-_Primary_Analysis_-_Mar-13_1700_PM_(1_day).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12840
 
AUD/NZD reached buy target 1.0900
3/13/2017

AUD/NZD reached buy target 1.0900
Next buy target - 1.1000

AUD/NZD continues to rise after the earlier breakout of the key resistance level - 1.0900, which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this currency pair. The breakout of the resistance level 1.0900 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the end of January.

AUD/NZD is expected to rise to the next buy target at the resistance level 1.1000. Buy stop-loss can be placed at half the daily ATR (Average True Range) below the aforementioned price level 1.0900.

AUDNZD_-_Primary_Analysis_-_Mar-13_1640_PM_(1_day).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12841
 
EUR/JPY: euro caught the Shark
3/14/2017

On the EUR/JPY daily chart, the target 88.6% in inverted "Shark" pattern has been implemented. Further on, the situation can develop according to one of two scenarios: the update of the March maximum will lead to the continuation of the rally towards 113% of the XC wave (124), or there can be a transformation of the Shark pattern into 5-0. The latter scenario supposes correction towards 50% level of the SW wave (120.6).

Screenshot_2017_03_14_08_37_11.png


On the EUR/JPY hourly chart, an expanding wedge pattern is formed. A breakout of the support at 122.07 will lead to its realization. As a result, the prices can be sent towards the lower border of the upward trading channel.

Screenshot_2017_03_14_08_37_25.png


Recommendation: SELL 122,07 SL 122,62 TP1 121,15 TP2 120,6.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12843
 
Gold: bulls grabbed hold of the level
3/14/2017

On the daily chart of gold, the target 88.6% in the "Shark" pattern hasn't been implemented. "Bulls" managed to hold their positions at the important level of $1205. If they manage to hold there longer, the prices may return towards the resistance at $ 1220. In the case of the break of the aforementioned level, there might be a correction towards the near-term upward trend.

Screenshot_2017_03_14_08_37_39.png


On the hourly chart of gold, there is an intermediate target 78.6% in the "Shark" pattern. The pullbacks towards 23.6%, 38.2% and 50% levels can be used for the opening of short positions in the direction of the 88.6% target (near $1,189 level).

Screenshot_2017_03_14_08_37_53.png


Recommendation: BUY $1189 SL $1180 $TP1 $1212 TP2 $1222.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12844
 
EUR/USD: euro corrected to Tenkan-sen
3/14/2017

Technical levels: support – 1.0650, 1.0620; resistance – 1.0700/20.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 1.0620; SL — 1.0600; TP1 — 1.0700; TP2 – 1.0760.

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; but the market is overbought.

01-eurusdh4(102).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12845
 
USD/JPY: Dollar supported by Kijun-sen
3/14/2017

Technical levels: support – 114.50/60; resistance – 115.50, 116.20.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 114.80/90; SL — 114.60; TP1 — 115.50; TP2 — 116.20.

Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are in the channel of Tenkan-Kijun and supported by Kijun-sen.

04-usdjpyh4(84).png


More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12846
 
Morning brief for March 14
3/14/2017

The UK Parliament has passed the Brexit bill, giving the government permission to trigger Article 50 and begin talks with EU. Today, the bill could receive the royal assent and become a law. Downing Street sources said that Ms. May prefers waiting until the end of March to launch the EU-UK negotiations and pull the Brexit trigger. Apparently, the British pound liked Brexit clarity as it swung to 1.2250 overnight. In the Asian session, it gave back some of its earlier gains slipping to 1.2200.

In other developments, Scottish First Minister Sturgeon said she will see authority from the Scottish Parliament next week for a second referendum to leave the UK, but PM Theresa May hurried to rule it out saying that Sturgeon’s decision would set Scotland on a course for division and uncertainty.

Now let us turn to the data front. Australia’s NAB business survey kicked off the day and then we received some data from China (industrial production, retail sales, and fixed asset investment). China’s releases were rather decent with a slight miss on the retail sales; NAB business confidence was downgraded a bit, but still remained at decent levels. Aussie dipped to 0.7560 on the data flow, haven failed to break the resistance at 0.7570 (50-day MA). Although the overtone for AUD/USD currency pair has improved recently, we still expect the prices to retrace towards 0.7530, 0.7490 levels.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.0715 overnight but then eased off quickly. Despite this pullback, the euro still has some steam to rise higher (at least towards 1.0750). Upbeat inflation figures coming from the UK may change the overtone to bearish and send prices lower towards the nearest supports at 1.0620/1.0615.

The outlook for USD/JPY currency pair is still neutral. The pair is consolidating in the narrow range of 113.20 – 115.10 levels (the borders of Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe). A clear break of the resistance at 115.60 will allow us to change our outlook for bullish.

USD/CAD slid to 1.3440 in the Asian session. There is a strong support at 1.34200. If it’s broken, the quotes might fall further. In commodities, oil prices pared some additional losses and dipped to $51.38 on the concerns about rising US oil production.

More:
https://new.fxbazooka.com/analytics/12847
 
Top