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Market analysis and trade recommendations by FBS

EUR/USD: "PENNANT" PATTERN
10:00 09.08.2017

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The last "Pennant" pattern has been broken, so the price faced support at 1.1712. However, the market is likely going to continue falling down towards the 55 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement in the direction of the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1801.

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Bears found support at 1.1712, so the price is consolidating. It's likely that the pair is going to test the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1776 during the day. Meanwhile, if we have a pullback from this area, sellers will probably try to achieve the next support at 1.1683.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd:_"pennant"_pattern_2836
 
GBP/USD: BULLISH "THORN"
10:04 09.08.2017

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We've got a "Thorn" pattern, so the price reached the 89 Moving Average. There's time for correction, so we should keep an eye on the 34 MA as a bullish target. If a pullback from this line happens, we could have just another decline towards the next support at 1.2932.

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There's a "Double Bottom", so the price is rising. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.3069 and the 55 MA. If we have a pullback from these levels, bears are likely going to deliver a new local low.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp_usd:_bullish_"thorn"_2837
 
EUR/USD FINISHED A WAVE
10:57 09.08.2017

Recommendation:

BUY 1.1630 SL 1.1575 TP1 1.1820 TP2 1.1920

BUY 1.1520 SL 1.1465 TP1 1.1620 TP2 1.182 TP2 1,1920

On the daily chart, EUR/USD finished the wave 4-5 within the “Widening wedge”. Use pullbacks towards 23.6%, 38.2% and 50% for opening long positions. We don’t exclude the possibility that the prices will rebound from the lower border of the uptrend channel.

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On H1, the break of diagonal support in the form of the lower border of the uptrend is a signal for a correction towards 113% and 88.6% targets of the junior and senior “Shark” patterns.

1502265289-144c086f9efd0dd7367f2818eb875c0e_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd_finished_a_wave_2840
 
USD/CAD: BEARS ARE GATHERING STRENGTH
11:08 09.08.2017

On the daily chart, USD/CAD left the downtrend channel. As a result, the pair is correcting towards 23.6%, 38.2% and 50% within the transformation of the “Shark” pattern into 5-0. It will be sensible to use recoil from important resistance levels for opening short positions.

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On H1, USD/CAD formed “Dragon” pattern. The pair’s currently consolidating within the “Spike and ledge” pattern in the 1.2660-1.2705 range. The break of its upper border will allow the pair to continue correction. A successful test of the lower border will strengthen the risks of the bearish trend resumption.

1502266056-5c726ce87bf89e31cdcfbd4c37b26a4a_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd_cad:_bears_are_gathering_strength_2841
 
EUR/USD: CONSOLIDATION IN A TINY RANGE
14:44 09.08.2017

1502279004-8758f0fbaf7a1184e03e71b9dce0a9dd_1200x1200_q90.png


There's a bearish correction, which is taking place on the four-hours chart. The last bullish "High Wave" pattern hasn't been confirmed yet, so the market is likely going to test the 55 Moving Average in the short term.

1502279004-c799a89421c18bda8a7091536a829635_1200x1200_q90.png



The price is still consolidating in a tiny range of bullish and bearish patterns. If the 34 Moving Average acts as resistance, we're likely going to have a new local low shortly.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd:_consolidation_in_a_tiny_range_2846
 
USD/JPY: BROKEN "WINDOW"
14:47 09.08.2017

1502279004-67e60e08182cbf836ee2e6fe3b82291a_1200x1200_q90.png


We've got a new local low, but there isn't any reversal pattern so far. So, bears are likely going to test the "Window's" lower side. If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement towards the Moving Averages.

1502279004-a262574ba3ec22a74c8af2e4d9872bc5_1200x1200_q90.png


The nearest "Window" has been broken, so the pair is still declining. The last bearish patterns haven't been confirmed, so we could have the price even lower during the day.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd_jpy:_broken_"window"_2847
 
EUR/USD: "THORN" PATTERN
10:31 10.08.2017

1502350215-106e12a9ab22f611f101dcf83591fa21_1200x1200_q90.png


The pair is consolidating near the 55 Moving Average. It's likely that the price is going to test the nearest support at 1.1649 in the short term. If a pullback from this level happens afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1801.

1502350215-d204994f06aec19f5ce876c88f6abf0c_1200x1200_q90.png


Bears faced support at 1.1683, so there's a "Thorn" pattern, which pushed the price higher. The main intraday target is the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1776. However, if we see a pullback from this area, bears will probably try to reach another support at 1.1649.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd:_"thorn"_pattern_2873
 
GBP/USD: BEARISH "FLAG"
10:34 10.08.2017

1502350215-c833c2f7f5458f511a541d42c6a57430_1200x1200_q90.png


There's a consolidation, which is taking place near the 89 Moving Average. Also, there's a possible developing "Flag" pattern, so bears are likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.2932 soon. If a pullback from this level arrives little later on, there'll be an option to have a bullish price movement towards the closest resistance at 1.2982 - 1.2997.

1502350215-a71586ac42ee2d09907d464f6c3f71db_1200x1200_q90.png


We've got a bearish "Flag", so the market is likely going to test the upper side of this pattern. If a pullback from the nearest resistance at 1.2997 - 1.3013 happens afterwards, we should keep an eye on the next support at 1.2958 - 1.2932 as an intraday target.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp_usd:_bearish_"flag"_2874
 
GOLD: BULLS PUSH PRICES UP
11:10 10.08.2017

Recommendation:

SELL $1270, SL $1278, TP1 $1250, TP2 $1230

On the daily chart, bulls made a second attempt during the 2 weeks to return the prices inside the previous rising channel. If it succeeds, the odds of an increase at least towards $1295 an ounce will sharply increase. On the other hand, recoil down from $1277-1279 will make gold consolidate.

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On H1, the inability of bulls to hold the prices above $1270 ?an ounce will show their weakness. As a result, risks of reversal patterns Anti-Turtles and “Widening wedge” will increase.

1502352583-e12a637cc937326a9c7981d6dfc46909_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gold:_bulls_push_prices_up_2876
 
USD/CHF: BEARS PREPARE TO ATTACK
11:30 10.08.2017

Recommendation:

BUY 0.9740 SL 0.9685 TP1 0.9840 TP2 0.9890

On the daily chart, USD/CHF reached the target of “Wolfe waves” pattern. After this, there was a correction to the short-term uptrend. A recoil from the lower border of the bullish trend channel and the pair’s settling above 0.9650 will return the initiative to buyers.

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On H1, there are senior and junior “Shark” patterns. The most likely scenarios are: decline to the recent low and continuation of the fall towards 0.9470 or correction to the wave CD. Think about bullish positions if USD/CHF breaks above 0.9740 and 0.9755.

1502353749-351a015a31e5fdb2fee97b43bc66aebc_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd_chf:_bears_prepare_to_attack_2878
 
EUR/USD: BEARISH "SHOOTING STAR"
16:04 10.08.2017

1502370194-949e591f1e132341d9075a4191d6b4b2_1200x1200_q90.png


The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, but there isn't any bullish pattern so far. So, we could have a new local low soon. If we have another pullback from the 55 MA, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement.

1502370194-81c1d94a81e67d6384fafbcba0c423df_1200x1200_q90.png


The price is still consolidating. We've got a bearish "Shooting Star", so bears are likely going to break the last low soon. If any bullish pattern arrives later on, bulls will probably try to test the Moving Averages.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd:_bearish_"shooting_star"_2889
 
USD/JPY: "ENGULFING" AND "DOJI"
16:07 10.08.2017

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There's a bearish "High Wave", which has been confirmed. So, the price is likely going to continue moving down towards the lower "Window", which could be a departure point for a bullish correction.

1502370194-ce0372b5eb73a8ee67b0c880fe99d2e5_1200x1200_q90.png


We've got bearish patterns such an "Engulfing" and a "Doji", which both have been confirmed. In this case, the pair is going to decline in the direction of the closest support level.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd_jpy:_"engulfing"_and_"doji"_2890
 
GBP/USD: POUND IS IN CONSOLIDATION UNDER CLOUD
08:22 11.08.2017

Technical levels: support – 1.2980; resistance – 1.3000, 1.3090.

Trade recommendations:

Sell — 1.2980; SL — 1.3000; TP1 — 1.2910; TP2 — 1.2870.
Buy — 1.3010; SL — 1.2090; TP1 — 1.3090; TP2 — 1.3140.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal borders; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the narrow channel of the lines; the bears can’t breaking down the support of 1.2980.

1502428928-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712827_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp_usd:_pound_is_in_consolidation_under_cloud_2902
 
AUD/USD: AUSSIE TESTED SSB’S SUPPORT
08:23 11.08.2017

Technical levels: support – 0.7820/30; resistance – 0.7910.

Trade recommendations:

Buy — 0.7850/60; SL — 0.7830; TP1 — 0.7910; TP3 — 0.7950.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud, but rising Senkou Span B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are tested the support of Senkou Span B and can bounce off to SSA.

1502428928-42a68b4bfa2f0515dfbaa054e9dbae66_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/aud_usd:_aussie_tested_ssb’s_support_2903
 
GBP/USD: WEDGE HELPED BULLS
10:26 11.08.2017

Recommendation:

BUY 1.3025 SL 1.2970 TP1 1.3150 TP2 1.3250

SELL 1.2960 SL 1.3015 TP 1.2850

On the daily chart, GBP/USD formed junior and senior “3 Indians”. As a result, the pair declined to support at 1/2965. The break will strengthen the risks of a pullback towards the lower border of an uptrend channel.

1502436311-7bbf95a209d207fae4f63ac496b4f219_1200x1200_q90.png


On H1, GBP/USD is consolidating in the 1.2960-1.3025 area. A successful test of its lower border will allow expecting a continuation of correction towards 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. On the contrary, if there’s a “widening wedge”, the odds of the uptrend’s resumption will increase.

1502436337-2cf183d9aa99dd882e50bd88c66a58cb_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp_usd:_wedge_helped_bulls__2906
 
EUR/JPY: BEARS PREPARE A DECLINE
10:41 11.08.2017

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY the break of diagonal support (lower border of the uptrend channel) was a signal for correction towards 88.06% target of the “Shark” pattern. However, bears have to meet 2 conditions. Firstly, hold the pair below 128.50. Secondly, pull it below support at 127.50.

1502437255-3297c54597baddc0779dab87f73568a2_1200x1200_q90.png


H1, EUR/JPY is moving towards 224% and 88.6% targets of “Shark” pattern. They correspond to 127 and 123.40. To resume the uptrend, bulls have to return the euro above 129.50.

1502437275-1f50b4d918123f905c31c70a9dfda50a_1200x1200_q90.png


More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_jpy:_bears_prepare_a_decline_2907
 
EUR/USD: PRICE BROKE THE "WEDGE"
11:20 11.08.2017

1502439528-e8ffecaef88ee038a676cab5a35292ec_1200x1200_q90.png


The price has broken the upper side of a "Wedge" pattern. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.1846 - 1.1875 in the coming hours. If a pullback from these levels happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the 34 Moving Average.

1502439528-9be29033c2206f32231eae68788fc984_1200x1200_q90.png


All the Moving Averages lines have been broken, so the price is consolidating. It seems like we've got a developing "Flag" pattern. In this case, we should keep an eye on the next resistance at 1.1823 - 1.1845 as an intraday bullish target.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd:_price_broke_the_"wedge"_2910
 
GBP/USD: DEVELOPING "TRIANGLE"
11:22 11.08.2017

1502439528-4f0e85d1ba3d58e0e97d4cc52ee042c3_1200x1200_q90.png


The price is consolidating near the 89 Moving Average. Also, there are two bullish "Thorn" patterns in a row, so the pair is likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.3032 - 1.3047 in the coming hours. If a pullback from these levels happens little later on, there'll be an option to have a downward price movement towards the next support at 1.2982 - 1.2951.

1502439528-4bb684e4a27c20156707204cff713362_1200x1200_q90.png


We've got a "Triangle", so the price is likely going to test the lower side of this pattern in the short term. If a pullback from this level is on the table, bulls will probably try to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.3032 - 1.3047 shortly.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/gbp_usd:_developing_"triangle"_2911
 
EUR/USD: BEARISH "SHOOTING STAR" AND "DOJI"
15:16 11.08.2017

1502453764-6a9c10e59b499767febe19e048f96ac2_1200x1200_q90.png


The 55 Moving Average has been tested once again, so we've got a bearish "Tower", but this pattern remains unconfirmed. So, the pair is likely going to continue declining until any bullish pattern forms.

1502453764-4e9cd65c0b63f8599a236053c01cd8bd_1200x1200_q90.png


There're bearish patterns such a "Shooting Star" and a "Doji", which both have been confirmed. However, we've got a bullish "Inverted Hammer", so there's an opportunity to have a local upward correction. Anyway, bears are likely going to test the next support afterwards.

More:
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/eur_usd:_bearish_"shooting_star"_and_"doji"_2913
 
USD/JPY: BULLISH "DOJI"
15:19 11.08.2017

1502453764-f0fd8d4687fa661cfb57b41bed6506b9_1200x1200_q90.png


The "Window" has been broken, but there's a bullish "Doji", which hasn't been confirmed yet. It's likely that the pair is going to test the nearest resistance. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have just another decline.

1502453764-f44d6ccfcf2b2dbd403bd88abb42c784_1200x1200_q90.png


We've got a "Harami" and a "Tweezers" patterns. In this case, the pair is likely going to test the Moving Averages in the short term. However, if a pullback from these lines arrives afterwards, there'll be an option to have a decline in the direction of the nearest support.

More;
https://fbs.com/analytics/articles/usd_jpy:_bullish_"doji"_2914
 
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