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Daily Market Outlook from ACFX

acfx

Broker Representative
Daily Market Outlook

Posted by on January 16, 2013

Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
USD 15:30 (GMT) Core CPI m/m 0.2% 1.1%
Currencies

EUR/USD The euro’s 8.4 percent gain against the U.S. dollar in the past six months is posing a fresh threat to the European economy just as it shows signs of escaping the debt crisis, said Jean-Claude Juncker, who leads the group of euro-area finance ministers.
The European currency dropped as much as 0.9 percent after Juncker’s comments, the biggest intraday decline since Jan. 3. The euro traded at $1.3306 at 5 p.m. New York time, down 0.6 percent. It touched an intraday high of $1.3404 on Jan. 14, the strongest since Feb. 29, 2012.

USD/JPY The yen headed for its biggest two- day gain in eight months amid speculation the Bank of Japan (8301) will fail to impress investors with extra policy measures at its Jan. 21-22 meeting.
The yen rose 0.7 percent to 88.16 per dollar as of 2:15
p.m. in Tokyo, following a 0.8 percent jump yesterday. It would
be the sharpest back-to-back gain since May 18. The Japanese
currency reached 89.67 on Jan. 14, a level unseen since June
2010. The euro slid 0.1 percent to $1.3289 after dropping 0.6
percent yesterday. It touched $1.3404 on Jan. 14, the strongest
since Feb. 29. The currency fell 0.9 percent to 117.14 yen.

USD/CAD The Canadian dollar weakened the most in six months against the yen on speculation the central bank may limit policies to devalue the currency after Japan’s economy minister said the country faces economic risks.
The Canadian dollar, called the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, was little changed at 98.43 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:07 p.m. in Toronto, after declining the most since Jan. 4. One loonie buys $1.0160.

Commodities

Oil traded near the lowest level in almost a week in New York after U.S. crude stockpiles increased and the World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts.
Crude for February delivery was at $93.51 a barrel, up 23 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:46 p.m. Singapore time. The contract declined 0.9 percent to $93.28 yesterday, the biggest drop since Dec. 21 and the lowest close since Jan. 9.
Brent for February settlement, which expires today, was up
37 cents at $110.67 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures
Europe exchange. The more active March contract rose 35 cents to
$109.98. The front-month European benchmark contract was at a
premium of $17.16 to WTI. It closed at $17.02 yesterday, the
narrowest spread since Sept. 19.

Gold advanced for a third day toward
a two-week high as expectations that global policy makers will
need to stimulate growth boosted demand for a store of value.
Platinum fell from the most expensive in three months.
Spot gold gained as much as 0.3 percent to $1,684.75 an ounce and traded at $1,682.45 at 12:48 p.m. in Singapore. The metal reached $1,685.25 yesterday, the costliest since Jan. 3, after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the previous day that while the U.S. economy is responding to monetary stimulus there is still “quite a ways to go.”

Equities

Asian stocks fell, with the regional
benchmark index heading for its first loss in three days, amid
signs markets are overbought. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average slid
by the most in eight months.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) slid 0.8 percent to 131.61 as of 3:03 p.m. Tokyo time, with almost three stocks falling for each that rose. The gauge has rallied since November after reports showed China’s economy is recovering and Japanese shares gained on speculation Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive policies to stimulate the world’s third-largest economy

European stocks were little changed as concern that debt-ceiling talks will harm the
U.S. economy and a report showing weaker-than-forecast German growth
offset Spain’s better-than-targeted sale of debt.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost less than 0.1 percent to 285.97 at the close of trading. The measure has still gained 2.3 percent since the start of the year after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a budget, avoiding tax increases and spending cuts that threatened to push the world’s biggest economy into a recession.

U.S stocks advanced, rebounding from earlier losses in the Standard & Poor’s
500 Index, as a rally in retail and transportation companies
overshadowed concern about discussions on raising the debt ceiling.

The S&P 500 rose 0.1 percent to 1,472.34 at 4 p.m. New York time, after falling as much as 0.5 percent earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 27.57 points, or 0.2 percent, to 13,534.89. The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 0.7 percent to a record 5,639.64. About 5.8 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 5.7 percent.
 

acfx

Broker Representative
Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX 24/1/2013

Daily Market Outlook

Posted by on January 24, 2013

Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
EUR 10:30 (GMT) German Flash Manufacturing PMI 47.1 46.0
USD 15:30 (GMT) Unemployement Claims 359K 335K

Currencies

AUD/USD Australian
currency rose versus the yen after a survey of companies
showed Chinese manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace in two
years, brightening the outlook for commodity exports.

Australia’s dollar rose 0.3 percent to 93.79 yen as of 3:19
p.m. in Sydney. It fell 0.3 percent to $1.0520. New Zealand’s
currency gained 0.7 percent to 75.19 yen and added 0.1 percent
to 84.34 U.S. cents.

USD/JPY The yen weakened, snapping a three- day advance against the dollar, as signs of strengthening manufacturing in China curbed Asian stock losses and damped demand for safer assets.
The yen lost 0.7 percent to 89.18 per dollar as of 1:09
p.m. in Tokyo after gaining 1.7 percent in the previous three
days. The Japanese currency reached 90.25 on Jan. 21, the
weakest level since June 2010. It fell 0.6 percent to 118.75 per
euro from yesterday. The dollar was little changed at $1.3315
per euro.

USD/CAD The Canadian dollar fell to parity against its U.S. counterpart after the Bank of Canada said the need to raise interest rates is less urgent as the economy will take longer to reach full output
The Canadian dollar, known as the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, fell 0.7 percent to 99.92 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:02 p.m. in Toronto. It touched the weakest level since Nov. 19. One loonie buys $1.0008.
The currency weakened beyond its 200-day moving average at
99.83 cents.

Commodities

Oil traded near the lowest level in
a week in New York after U.S. crude stockpiles gained and
capacity on the Seaway pipeline was reduced.

West Texas Intermediate crude for March delivery was at
$95.46 a barrel, up 23 cents, in electronic trading on the New
York Mercantile Exchange at 1:27 p.m. Sydney time. The contract
dropped $1.45 yesterday, the most since Dec. 21, to the lowest
price since Jan. 16. The average volume of all futures traded
was 75 percent above the 100-day average.
Brent for March settlement fell 32 cents to $112.48 a
barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The
European benchmark contract was at a premium of $17.04 to WTI
futures, down from $17.57 yesterday. The gap was $15.16 on Jan.
17, the narrowest in almost six months

Gold will rally this year and into
2014 as U.S. Federal Reserve policy makers will probably
maintain asset purchases for two more years to buttress the
recovery of the largest economy, according to Morgan Stanley.
Gold for immediate-delivery fell 0.2 percent at $1,682.05 an ounce at 12:24 p.m. in Singapore. The price dropped to $1,625.85 on Jan. 4, the lowest level since August, after the release of the FOMC minutes. Gold, which slumped 5.5 percent in the three months to December, has gained 0.4 percent this year.

Equities

Asian stocks swung between gains and losses as Japanese shares rallied on a weaker yen, China’s manufacturing beat estimates and North Korea threatened a nuclear test. Apple Inc. (AAPL) suppliers fell after the company reported its slowest profit growth since 2003.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slid 0.1 percent to 131.96 as of 1:07 p.m. in Tokyo, after gaining as much as 0.1 percent and falling 0.4 percent. About four stocks rose for every three that retreated. The gauge jumped 10 percent through yesterday from Nov. 14, when elections were announced in Japan, spurring a rally in the country’s shares amid speculation the new government would do whatever was necessary to end deflation.

European stocks advanced, after remaining little changed for most of the day, as the U.S. House of Representatives gathered to vote on suspending the country’s debt limit and as results from Novartis to Unilever (ULVR) beat analyst estimates.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) added 0.2 percent to 288.22 in London, as the number of shares rising and those falling were roughly even. The gauge this month surged to the highest level since February 2011 as U.S. lawmakers agreed on a compromise budget and American companies reported better-than-projected earnings.

U.S stocks rose, after benchmark indexes reached five-year highs, as lawmakers
voted to temporarily suspend the federal debt limit and technology
stocks rallied amid better-than-forecast earnings.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.2 percent to 1,494.81 at 4
p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 67.12 points, or
0.5 percent, to 13,779.33. About 6.1 billion shares changed hands on
U.S. exchanges, in line with the three-month average. Nasdaq 100 futures
dropped 1.7 percent to 2,712 as of 6:18 p.m. on Apple’s earnings
report.
 
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