Daily Forex News By XtreamForex

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CHF Currency Pair

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6747.

· AUD/USD maintaining bid tone as markets send mixed signals regarding risk.
· US yields hitting historic lows in Asia with 30-year yield below 2.0%.
· Bond market is pricing in strong chance of recession nL4N25B0GG.
· Despite moves in US Treasuries. S&P futures up over 0.40%.
· AUD/USD steady around 0.6775 - up 0.41% after better than expected Aus jobsnAZN0QH300.
· Unless bond market wrong, AUD/USD should struggle on global growth concerns.
· AUD/USD resistance at 0.6820/35 where daily highs converge with 38.2 fibo.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6738 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6721. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6794 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6811.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 105.89.

Retail Sales m/m reflect a change in the US retail sails in the reported month compared to the previous one. The indicator is calculated based on statistics received from 5,000 retail stores of different types and sizes, and the data are then extrapolated to the whole country.

The indicator is used for estimating inflation. Its growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.70 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.48. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.44, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.66.

USD CHF

USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9732.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9712 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9697. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9762, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9777.

According to Citi Research report "With risk sentiment continuing to deteriorate by the week, investors may look to extend risk aversion trades into 2020 as:

(1) Worsening US – China trade tensions risk a disinflationary impulse from CNY heading towards 7.25 - 50;
(2) Possible risk of USD intervention by the US;
(3) Rising odds of a “No Deal” Brexit;
(4) Re-emergence of Italy political risk;
(5) Slowing global growth leading to central bank policy responses and a “race to the bottom” in rates sparking a currency war;
(6) Potential damage to US – Japan/ Europe trade relations should Trump impose tariffs on auto imports;
(7) 2020 - US presidential election year leaves scope for a more aggressive Trump;
(8) Tensions in HK, Iran, North Korea, now Argentina and India – Pakistan,"

 

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Technical Overview of USD/CAD, USD/JPY and EUR/USD Currency Pair

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3323.

Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3270 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3250. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3304 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3338.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 106.62.

FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 106.36 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.25. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.70, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.81.

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1087.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1075 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1066. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1105, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1114.

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CHF Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2130.

GBP/USD seesaws inside a choppy range between 10 and 21-DMA.
MACD flashes bullish signal.

The Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium is an annual symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City since 1978, and held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, since 1981. It is a forum for central bankers, policy experts and academics to come together to focus on a topic.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2108 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2086. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2156 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2181.

NZD USD

NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6404.

Retail Sales m/m reflect a change in New Zealand's retail sales in the reported month compared to the previous one. The calculation is adjusted for inflation. The index is often referred to as the consumer spending indicator, which allows assessing inflation in New Zealand. The indicator growth can have a positive effect on NZD quotes.

Jerome H. Powell took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on May 25, 2012, to fill an unexpired term. On November 2, 2017, President Donald Trump nominated Powell to serve as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Powell assumed office as Chair on February 5, 2018.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6393 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6381. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6418, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6431.

USD CHF

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 0.9819.

The number of New Home Sales released by the US Census Bureau is an important measure of housing market conditions. House buyers spend money on furnishing and financing their homes so as a result the demand for goods, services and the employees is stimulated. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as bearish.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9790 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9868. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9848, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9868.

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/CAD and AUD/USD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1102.

EUR/USD failed to confirm a bullish reversal with a close above 1.1153 on Monday.
German GDP is expected to have contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter.

HICP is an index of consumer prices calculated and published by Destatis, the Statistical Office of the European Union, on the basis of a statistical methodology that has been harmonized across all EU member states. HICP is a measure of prices used by Governing Council of EU to define and assess price stability in the euro area as a whole in quantitative terms.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1079 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1057. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1138 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1175.

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3254.

The Gross Domestic Product Annualized released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced within a country in a given period of time. GDP Annualized is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3229 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3203. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3298, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3342.

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against CAD and closed at 0.6775.

The Aussie ignored upbeat Chinese data and risk-on trades on the Asian stocks. Focus remains on trade and US data.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6732 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6713. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6774, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6797.

 

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Technical Overview of NZD/USD and USD/CHF Currency Pair

NZD USD

NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6362.

NZD/USD's daily chart indicators are reporting early signs of a bullish reversal.
Trend reversal would be confirmed above Monday's high.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6351 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6340. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6379 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6369.

USD CHF

USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9815.

USD/CHF again confronts 50-DMA while seeking a downward resistance-line since August 01.
23.6% of Fibonacci retracement can offer immediate support.
Swiss ZEW Survey – Expectations in the spotlight.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9780 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9747. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9841, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9869.

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/CNY, USD/JPY and USD/CAD Currency Pair

EUR CNY

EUR traded higher against CNY and closed at 7.9029.

The core Consumer Price Index released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol and tobacco. The core CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

The Euro Zone CPI released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. Generally, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI™, released by Market Economics, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in over 400 private manufacturing sector companies.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 7.881 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 7.860. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 7.934 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 7.967.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 106.5200.

Retail Sales m/m show the total volume of retail sales of goods and services in the past month compared with the previous one. This is a highly volatile indicator, it is seasonally adjusted.
The index allows evaluating consumer spending which is an important indicator of the national inflation.
The indicator growth can have a positive effect on yen quotes.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.55 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.33. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.03, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.29.

USD CAD

USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3287.

The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Canada. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Canadian economic activity and health. A rising trend has a positive effect on the CAD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the CAD.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3239 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3194. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3315, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3346.

 

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Technical Overview of USD/JPY, USD/CHF and AUD/USD Currency Pair

USD JPY

USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 107.53.

· USD/JPY grinds higher to 107.67 from 107.54, nearing breakout
· May soon crack 107.71 top of daily Ichimoku Cloud on EBS
· Closing above that level marks bullish break, 200 DMA could be next
· ECB meet Thurs could derail EUR/JPY, though dovish outcome priced in
· US 10y yield lets off some steam after hitting 1.744%, last 1.713%
· Risk appetite rising with further global central bank easing expected

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 107.32 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.21. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.64 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.75.

USD CHF

USD traded lower against CHF and closed at 0.9919.

· USD/CHF recently turned choppy inside a rising channel formation.
· 200-hour EMA adds to the pattern’s support.

The USD/CHF pair’s failure to rise past-0.9930/35 area, including early-month high, is less likely to portray its weakness unless breaking near-term support-line. The pair currently trades near 0.9920 by the press time heading into Wednesday’s European session.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9896 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9886. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9928, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9938.

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6859.

· AUD/USD is losing altitude in response to a dismal Westpac Aussie consumer confidence data.
· Australian currency may remain under pressure due to deepening slowdown in China.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6850 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6845. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6868, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6873.

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD, USD/CAD and NZD/USD Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2500.

· GBP/USD created a bullish outside bar candlestick on Tuesday, signaling a continuation of the recent rally.

· Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points.

The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2423 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2392. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2525 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2556.

USD CAD

USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3241.

· USD/CAD remains above 100-HMA, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement confluence.

· 61.8% Fibonacci retracement limits near-term advances.

Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3231 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3215. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3283, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3299.

NZD USD

NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6356.

· NZD/USD follows three-day-old falling trend-line, slips below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

· Early-month high, Tuesday’s low could offer intermediate halt during the declines.

The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by New Zealand. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of New Zealand economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the NZD.

The FOMC press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6332 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6322. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6364, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6374.

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD, USD/CAD and NZD/USD Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2500.

· GBP/USD created a bullish outside bar candlestick on Tuesday, signaling a continuation of the recent rally.

· Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points.


The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).


According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2423 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2392. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2525 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2556.

USD CAD

USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3241.


· USD/CAD remains above 100-HMA, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement confluence.

· 61.8% Fibonacci retracement limits near-term advances.


Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.


According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3231 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3215. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3283, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3299.


NZD USD

NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6356.


· NZD/USD follows three-day-old falling trend-line, slips below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

· Early-month high, Tuesday’s low could offer intermediate halt during the declines.

The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by New Zealand. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of New Zealand economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the NZD.

The FOMC press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6332 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6322. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6364, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6374.

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD and EUR/USD Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.2322.

· Modest flow, +0.1%, at top of a very tight 1.2320/28 range, EUR/GBP -0.1%.

· Boris's top adviser Cummings; Brexit chaos 'A walk in the park'.

· EU's Juncker says he and Barnier doing everything possible to get a deal.

· Britain will be responsible if they exit EU with no Brexit deal.

· Over a third of small UK companies fear no-deal Brexit hit, FSB.

· Close below 1.2344, 38.2% of Sept bounce and 1.2351 21 DMA is bearish.

· Momentum studies, 5 & 10 DMA's fall - next stop is 1.2271 50% Sept rise.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2307 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2289. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2367 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2385.

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.0921.

CIBC Research discusses the USD outlook and the Fed rate call expectations. CIBC targets the USD index DXY at 98.9 by year-end and at 95.6 by Q2 of 20120.

"We share the view of many FOMC speakers that rate cuts will be a bit shallower than markets anticipate, with the rate cuts in July and September to be followed by one more 25 bp ease in December, and then a pause," CIBC notes.

"While US data has been a mixed bag, the economy has yet to have a quarter of growth below its non-inflationary potential. American consumers are in a healthy position based on an ample savings rate, low monthly financial obligations, and ongoing labor income growth. That underlying resilience, while not preventing a further slowing in growth, should be bullish for the dollar against overseas currencies in the very near-term, given the deeper risks to growth abroad (i.e. China and Europe), as well as uncertainty surrounding Brexit and trade, that will propel safe haven inflows in the greenback.

Over a longer time horizon, an easing in the appetite for such flows should see DXY give back some of its strength. For that, we’ll need some fiscal stimulus in Europe to reduce its dependence on negative yields, and an easing in US-China trade tensions. Any reduction in the attractiveness of US assets as a safe haven serves to weaken the greenback, given America’s persistent current account deficit," CIBC adds.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.0911 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0898. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0955, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0968.

For More information about the release time of news visit here: https://xtreamforex.com

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and AUD/USD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.0964.

EUR/USD again aims for 1.0987 resistance - confluence while taking the bids to 1.0980 amid the initial trading session on Friday. 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, immediate support-line questions pair’s declines.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.0949 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0935. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0993 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1007.

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6741.

AUD/USD is keeping gains despite the weaker-than-expected Aussie retail sales data. The pair may extend gains on dovish Federal Reserve expectations. RBA's Financial Stability Report cites housing market as key risk to the economy.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6713 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6701. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6753, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6765.

Important Economic Events of the Day

· AUD: Australia Retail Sales m/m

· USD: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

· CAD: Ivey Canada Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

· USD: Federal Reserve System (Fed) Chair Powell Speech

For More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1169.

EUR/USD's may have a hard time extending preceding three week's rally, courtesy of warning Brexit optimism. The common currency may face selling pressure if the European Union announces retaliatory tariffs on imports from the US.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1150 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1146. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1164 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1168.

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6855

• AUD/USD remains buoyant in Asia as hopes recede of an early RBA rate cut

• Bolstered by last week's upbeat AU jobs data, increasingly gloomy US data

• Australia home prices keep rising as auctions heat up in boost for economy

• Chance of Nov rate cut pared back to just 17% compared to 34% a week ago

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6842 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6839. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6854, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6857.

USD JPY

USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 108.42

Although 200-day SMA becomes the key upside for USD/JPY, the quote refrains from further declines while taking rounds to 108.50 during early Monday. The pair is seesaws around four day low.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 108.32 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.27. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.50, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 108.55.

For more information: https://xtreamforex.com/

 

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pair

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6784

· Flat in a quiet tight 0.6785/0.6795 range as options contain

· 0.6785-95 1.1BLN and 0.6900 500M strikes dominated in Asia

· Risk bounce in Asia after a soft week, Nikkei +0.6%, AsiaxJP +0.3%

· Charts - momentum studies, 5, 10 & 21 DMAs head south - bearish setup

· Dip recently stalled at 0.6769, which remains pivotal and vulnerable

· NY 0.6783 low and earlier 0.6795 high initial support and resistance

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6786 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6785. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6788 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6789.

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.2913.

· Cable saw steady interest and trades +0.1% in a 1.2903/1.2921 range

· Conservatives to raise property purchase tax for non-UK residents

· A revenue raiser that will be popular with UK voters

· FT's poll tracker, Conservatives hot favorites, +13pts from +11 over Labour

· Charts - 5, 10 & 21 DMAs gently edge higher - modest topside bias

· Six week 1.2770/1.3012 range looks set to extend unless the USD trends

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2917 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2916. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2923, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2924.

Important Economic Events of the Week (18 Nov, 19 to 24 Nov, 19)

· CAD: Core Retail Sales m/m

· EUR: ECB President Lagarde Speech

· EUR: GDP q/q

· SGD: GDP q/q

· USD: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

For More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3155.

· Flat in a 1.3153/1.3161 range, but decent interest once Asia fully opened

· EUR/GBP saw modest volumes with a very tight 0.8438/0.8341 range

· Conservative election victory expectations attracted fresh demand this week

· Initial significant resistance at 1.3168/90, 50% 2018/19 fall and May high

· 1.3168 capped in NY, but is under pressure - strong resistance into 1.3200

· Close above 1.3200 would be a strong positive into the election next week

· Sustained 1.3200 break would open the door to the 1.3380 2019 high in March

· Close below the prior 1.3000 range high needed to undermine topside bias

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3120 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3105. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3166 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3181.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 108.75.

USD/JPY's CTA positioning and notes that it's mainly close to neutral and sidelined around current levels.

"CTAs having held back on going long in the USD/JPY market (buying USD and selling yen) during the recent risk-on phase, they have managed to avoid simultaneous stock selling and yen buying.

CTAs' USD/JPY positions are close to neutral at present, and they are not currently moving either to buy or to sell.

"With the latent risk of yen appreciation being suppressed, if fundamentals-oriented investors begin tentatively dip-buying below 23,000, this downward move by the Nikkei 225 could be brought to a close relatively soon.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 108.66 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.58. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.92, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.00.

Important Economic Events of the day

· JPY: Household Spending y/y

· USD: Nonfarm Payrolls

· USD: Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count

· CAD: Employment Change

For More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and USD/CAD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1096.
• EUR/USD is gaining ground on broad-based dollar selling.
• The pair is closing on a crucial trendline hurdle at 1.1140.
• With gold rising amid trade optimism, a breakout looks likely.

The easing of trade tensions is good news for Germany. The 18-month US-China trade war had pushed the Eurozone's manufacturing powerhouse and biggest economy to the brink of recession.
As a result, the dollar could continue to lose ground in Friday's European session – more so, as the equity market buoyancy is expected to continue with Amazon, the e-commerce giant, reporting record holiday season.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1087 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1080. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1107 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1114.

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3121.
• USD/CAD on track for a test below 1.31 the figure on firm commodity complex.
• Phase-one trade deal between the US and China is in the making, supporting commodity currencies.

Funds are under pressure as the commodity complex catches a bid on the so-called 'phase-one' trade deal that is scheduled to be signed in January between the US and China.
The trade, ownership and technology practices of Chinese companies for the past two decades will not vanish overnight, nor will optimism of US and Canadian executives return with two signatures.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3100 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3087. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3144, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3157.

Important Economic Events of the Day
• JPY: Retail Sales m/m
• USD: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
• USD: Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count
• GBP: Nationwide HPI m/m

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

 

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP / USD Currency Pair

EUR /USD

• EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1193

The market is well placed to retest resistance at 1.1197- 1.1240 – namely the 55-week ma, the 2019-2020 down channel and the recent high. This guards the 200-week ma at 1.1360 which continues to represent a critical breakpoint medium term.”

“Dips lower are well supported by the 55 and 20-day ma at 1.1095/1.1065 and the 3-month uptrend at 1.1045.”

“Failure at the uptrend would target the 1.0981 29th November low.”


According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1167 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1156 The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1205 and a rise through could take it to the next the resistance level of 1.1216.


GBP / USD

· GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3167

“We look for dips lower to remain well supported by the 55-day ma at 1.2987. The low on the 23rd December was 1.2908 and while above here we will assume an upside bias to retest the December high at 1.3515.”

“The December high at 1.3515 guards the September 2017 high and 38.2% retracement (of the move down from 2014) at 1.3658/68. This guards the more important 1.3918 2007 -2020 downtrend.”

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2841 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2604. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3461, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3607.

Important Economic Events of the Day

• EUR Retail Sales m/m.
• EUR Retail Sales y/y.
• GBP 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction.
• USD Trade Balance.

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

 

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD

AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair will be traded at the level 0.7215 and go down from China released July month trade data at the Early Friday.

The Aussie pair has as of late been beaten somewhere in the range of 0.7210 and 0.7220 after its U-turn an 18-month top in the midst of the underlying Asian meeting.

China's July month Trade Balance crossed conjecture and earlier while blazing 442.23 B figures on a Chinese Yuan basis. Subtleties recommend that the Exports flood from 2.3% expected and 4.3% past directions to 10.4% yet Imports switched - 0.7% market understanding with 1.6% figures.

Except if breaking a rising pattern line from May 22, combined with 21-day EMA, close to 0.7110-0.7100, the bears are less inclined to take controls. Therefore, bulls focusing on the year 2019 top close to 0.7300 should stay confident.

The AUD/USD was previously close at the level of 0.7233. The Support and Resistance level of the pair will be 0.7184 and 0.7213.

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair has attacked multiple times over the most recent five days to close above at the level 1.19.

On Thursday, the currency pair timed a high of 1.1916 yet located at 1.1876. Comparable value activity was seen on Wednesday and last Friday.

The repeated removal above 1.19 approves the overbought on the 14-day relative quality record and recommends the ebbing of bullish energy. A comparative message is being resounded by Thursday's turning top flame the one with long wicks and a little body.

The pair will be situated at 1.1696 (Aug. 3 low), which whenever understood, would doubt a higher lows arrangement on the day by day outline and yield a decrease to 1.1422 (June 10 high).

The EUR/USD was previously close at the level of 1.1875. The Support and Resistance level of the pair will be 1.1804 and 1.1843.

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD

AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair will be traded at the level 0.7215 and go down from China released July month trade data at the Early Friday.

The Aussie pair has as of late been beaten somewhere in the range of 0.7210 and 0.7220 after its U-turn an 18-month top in the midst of the underlying Asian meeting.

China's July month Trade Balance crossed conjecture and earlier while blazing 442.23 B figures on a Chinese Yuan basis. Subtleties recommend that the Exports flood from 2.3% expected and 4.3% past directions to 10.4% yet Imports switched - 0.7% market understanding with 1.6% figures.

Except if breaking a rising pattern line from May 22, combined with 21-day EMA, close to 0.7110-0.7100, the bears are less inclined to take controls. Therefore, bulls focusing on the year 2019 top close to 0.7300 should stay confident.

The AUD/USD was previously close at the level of 0.7233. The Support and Resistance level of the pair will be 0.7184 and 0.7213.

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair has attacked multiple times over the most recent five days to close above at the level 1.19.

On Thursday, the currency pair timed a high of 1.1916 yet located at 1.1876. Comparable value activity was seen on Wednesday and last Friday.

The repeated removal above 1.19 approves the overbought on the 14-day relative quality record and recommends the ebbing of bullish energy. A comparative message is being resounded by Thursday's turning top flame the one with long wicks and a little body.

The pair will be situated at 1.1696 (Aug. 3 low), which whenever understood, would doubt a higher lows arrangement on the day by day outline and yield a decrease to 1.1422 (June 10 high).

The EUR/USD was previously close at the level of 1.1875. The Support and Resistance level of the pair will be 1.1804 and 1.1843.

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/USD

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair will run out of the stream and reached the level 1.1916 on Thursday that indicates the technical indicators.

The EUR/USD pair the daily chart indicates the bearish divergence according to the Relative strength index with slow stochastic. Moreover, the bearish divergence occurs that indicates the chart lower highs that opposed the higher lows and the Higher highs in Price that will take to be the sign of the Bullish momentum.

On Friday the pair was a decline at the level 0.78% to validated the uptrend exhaustion by the Thursday formed the spinning top candle that confirmed the short term bullish to a bearish trend change.

All things considered, a more grounded pullback might be seen for this present week. Quick help is situated at 1.1696 (Aug. 3 low), which, whenever entered, would declare a double top breakdown on the day by day chart and open the entryways for 1.1482 (focus according to the planned move strategy). On the higher side, 1.1916 is the level to beat for the bulls. At press time, the pair is sidelined close to 1.1791.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD was traded around the level at 1.3050 during the early Monday's Asian meeting. In doing as such, the Cable trims increase following a U-turn a seven-day-old helpline. The information could be followed by the pair's failure to cross 200-HMA.

Other than the 200-HMA and quick helpline, weak RSI conditions, and waiting for MACD furthermore bring up issues for the pair traders. Subsequently, they search for an away from of any of these key specialized levels for new headings.

The Cable pair will be traded upside that breaks the 200 HMA at level 1.3067 that will aim to go at the level 1.3100 the pair further go up with the ascending trend line and currently traded at the level 1.3190.

It will be expected, a drawback break below the referenced helpline, close at the level 1.3020, can attack the 1.3000 points to return to July 28 top close to 1.2950.

It ought to likewise, be noticed that the pair's ascent past-1.3190 will require approval from 1.3200 before examining the bulls. In the interim, the bears' strength past-1.2950 can feature at the level 1.2840/35.

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EUR/USD Pair Underpinned As Fiscal Impasse In Washington

The EUR/USD pair will be rally looks at the technical indicators that will pull back to the remain elusive as the impasse in Washington that will keep the dollar into the bulls.

The EUR/USD pair is trading at the level to 1.1860 according to the press time that will represent the gain at the level with a 0.17% gain on the day. If we see the weekly chart the relative strength index is having the above 70 that will indicate the overbought market conditions for the first time in over 2.5 years.

Be that as it may, slowed down coronavirus boost dealings in Washington and worrying Sino-US strains may hold the dollar under tension and confine losses in EUR/USD.

Then, the US and China postponed an audit of their Phase 1 economic accord at first booked for Saturday and have not reported another date up until this point. President Trump gave a chief request on Friday forcing ByteDance, the Chinese organization behind TikTok, to auction or branch off its US online networking business in 90 days.

GBP/USD Pair Winning the Streak Attack at 1.3100 on Print Three Day

The GBP/USD pair will go up and picks up the bid at the level near the 1.3100 up with 10% during the Monday Morning. The cable pair will stay beyond the 10-day EMA to the Third day according to the press time.

According to the RSI and MACD are both against the further run-up, which thus pushes venders to search for any drawback past at the level 1.3055, involving 10-day EMA, for ways.

It will be traded at the level 1.3000 and the month to month low around the level with 1.2980 can offer an extra channel toward the south, a rising pattern line from June 30, at 1.2885 presently, turns into the key help to watch.

On the upside, 1.3140 and the month to month top around 1.3185 can offer close by protection from the pair in front of the March month's peak including at the level 1.3200.

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