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01-15-2013 09:53 AM
#1
acfx
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Daily Market Outlook from ACFX
Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 15, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
GBP 11:30 (GMT) CPI y/y 2.7% 2.7%
GBP 12:00 (GMT) BOE Gov King Speaks
USD 15:30 (GMT) Core Retail Sales 0.2% 0.0%
USD 15:30 (GMT) PPI m/m -0.1% -0.8%
USD 15:30 (GMT) Retail Sales m/m 0.2% 0.3%
Currencies
AUD/USD The Australian dollar slid versus
most of its 16 major peers before a report this week that may
show an increase in unemployment, adding to signs of weakness in
the domestic economy
The Australian dollar fell 0.2 percent to $1.0549 as of 4:45 p.m. in Sydney after rising 0.3 percent yesterday. It touched 94.66 yen, the highest since August 2008, before trading at 93.83, 0.8 percent below the close in New York. New Zealand’s currency, known as the kiwi, lost 0.3 percent to 84.05 U.S. cents. It slid 0.9 percent to 74.75 yen after earlier reaching 75.53, the strongest since September 2008.
USD/JPY The yen rose against all of its 16 major peers after comments by Japan’s economy minister stoked speculation the nation won’t try to spur further weakness in its currency.
The yen rallied 0.6 percent to 88.95 per dollar as of 2:49 p.m. in Tokyo after yesterday reaching 89.67, the weakest since June 2010. It gained 0.8 percent to 118.77 per euro after touching 120.13 yesterday, the lowest since May 2011. The dollar rose 0.2 percent to $1.3353 per euro.
USD/CAD The Canadian dollar fell against its
Australian and New Zealand counterparts as comments from the
Chinese securities regulator indicated the possibility of more
foreign investment in Chinese firms.
The loonie, as the Canadian dollar is nicknamed for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, rose 0.1 percent to 98.37 cents per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. in Toronto. It declined 0.3 percent to C$1.0394 per Australian dollar and dropped 0.7 percent to 82.93 cents per New Zealand dollar. One Canadian dollar buys $1.0166.
Commodities
Oil traded near the highest level in
almost four months in New York before reports that may show the
economy recovering in the U.S., the world’s biggest crude-
consuming nation.
Crude for February delivery was at $93.90 a barrel, down 24 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 12:34 p.m. Singapore time. The contract increased to $94.14 yesterday, the highest settlement since Sept. 18. Prices dropped 7.1 percent last year.
Brent for February settlement was at $111.63 a barrel, down
25 cents, on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The
more active March contract slid 21 cents to $110.74. The front-
month European benchmark contract was at a premium of $17.75 to
WTI futures. It settled at $17.08 on Jan. 11, the narrowest
since Sept. 19.
Gold will average $1,720 an ounce this year and $1,600 in 2014, said Christin Tuxen of Danske Bank in Copenhagen, who came closest to predicting moves in the past eight quarters
Investors bought $140.9 billion through exchange-traded products since gold’s longest bull market in at least nine decades, creating a hoard bigger than the official reserves of all but two nations. Prices have retreated for three successive months as Europe’s debt crisis eased and faster growth from the U.S. to China spurred speculation that central banks will pare back stimulus.
Equities
Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index heading for the highest close since August 2011, as Japanese exporters gained after Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said the central bank will pursue powerful monetary easing.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.2 percent to 132.39 as of 2:18 p.m. Tokyo time, with about the same number of stocks rising and falling. The gauge is extending a rally for a third consecutive month after reports showed China’s economy is recovering and Japanese shares gained on speculation new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive policies to stimulate the world’s third-largest economy.
European stocks declined for a third
day as investors watched the U.S. financial-reporting season
amid concern that recent gains in share prices have overshot the
earnings potential.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 0.4 percent to 286.01 at the close in London, for the longest stretch of losses in four weeks. The equity benchmark dropped last week amid the highest valuation in 11 quarters and concern that quickening inflation in China will limit the scope for economic stimulus.
U.S stocks The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined from near a five-year high as Apple (AAPL) Inc.’s slump amid concern about iPhone sales offset a rally in Dell Inc.
The S&P 500 (SPX) retreated 0.1 percent to 1,470.68 at 4 p.m. New York time. The benchmark gauge for U.S. equities trimmed a decline of as much as 0.4 percent amid Dell (DELL)’s rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 18.89 points, or 0.1 percent, to 13,507.32. About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 8.1 percent below the three-month average.
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01-16-2013 09:27 AM
#2
acfx
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 16, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
USD 15:30 (GMT) Core CPI m/m 0.2% 1.1%
Currencies
EUR/USD The euro’s 8.4 percent gain against the U.S. dollar in the past six months is posing a fresh threat to the European economy just as it shows signs of escaping the debt crisis, said Jean-Claude Juncker, who leads the group of euro-area finance ministers.
The European currency dropped as much as 0.9 percent after Juncker’s comments, the biggest intraday decline since Jan. 3. The euro traded at $1.3306 at 5 p.m. New York time, down 0.6 percent. It touched an intraday high of $1.3404 on Jan. 14, the strongest since Feb. 29, 2012.
USD/JPY The yen headed for its biggest two- day gain in eight months amid speculation the Bank of Japan (8301) will fail to impress investors with extra policy measures at its Jan. 21-22 meeting.
The yen rose 0.7 percent to 88.16 per dollar as of 2:15
p.m. in Tokyo, following a 0.8 percent jump yesterday. It would
be the sharpest back-to-back gain since May 18. The Japanese
currency reached 89.67 on Jan. 14, a level unseen since June
2010. The euro slid 0.1 percent to $1.3289 after dropping 0.6
percent yesterday. It touched $1.3404 on Jan. 14, the strongest
since Feb. 29. The currency fell 0.9 percent to 117.14 yen.
USD/CAD The Canadian dollar weakened the most in six months against the yen on speculation the central bank may limit policies to devalue the currency after Japan’s economy minister said the country faces economic risks.
The Canadian dollar, called the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, was little changed at 98.43 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:07 p.m. in Toronto, after declining the most since Jan. 4. One loonie buys $1.0160.
Commodities
Oil traded near the lowest level in almost a week in New York after U.S. crude stockpiles increased and the World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts.
Crude for February delivery was at $93.51 a barrel, up 23 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:46 p.m. Singapore time. The contract declined 0.9 percent to $93.28 yesterday, the biggest drop since Dec. 21 and the lowest close since Jan. 9.
Brent for February settlement, which expires today, was up
37 cents at $110.67 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures
Europe exchange. The more active March contract rose 35 cents to
$109.98. The front-month European benchmark contract was at a
premium of $17.16 to WTI. It closed at $17.02 yesterday, the
narrowest spread since Sept. 19.
Gold advanced for a third day toward
a two-week high as expectations that global policy makers will
need to stimulate growth boosted demand for a store of value.
Platinum fell from the most expensive in three months.
Spot gold gained as much as 0.3 percent to $1,684.75 an ounce and traded at $1,682.45 at 12:48 p.m. in Singapore. The metal reached $1,685.25 yesterday, the costliest since Jan. 3, after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the previous day that while the U.S. economy is responding to monetary stimulus there is still “quite a ways to go.”
Equities
Asian stocks fell, with the regional
benchmark index heading for its first loss in three days, amid
signs markets are overbought. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average slid
by the most in eight months.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) slid 0.8 percent to 131.61 as of 3:03 p.m. Tokyo time, with almost three stocks falling for each that rose. The gauge has rallied since November after reports showed China’s economy is recovering and Japanese shares gained on speculation Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive policies to stimulate the world’s third-largest economy
European stocks were little changed as concern that debt-ceiling talks will harm the
U.S. economy and a report showing weaker-than-forecast German growth
offset Spain’s better-than-targeted sale of debt.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost less than 0.1 percent to 285.97 at the close of trading. The measure has still gained 2.3 percent since the start of the year after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a budget, avoiding tax increases and spending cuts that threatened to push the world’s biggest economy into a recession.
U.S stocks advanced, rebounding from earlier losses in the Standard & Poor’s
500 Index, as a rally in retail and transportation companies
overshadowed concern about discussions on raising the debt ceiling.
The S&P 500 rose 0.1 percent to 1,472.34 at 4 p.m. New York time, after falling as much as 0.5 percent earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 27.57 points, or 0.2 percent, to 13,534.89. The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 0.7 percent to a record 5,639.64. About 5.8 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 5.7 percent.
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01-17-2013 11:25 AM
#3
acfx
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 17, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
USD 15:30 (GMT) Building Permits 0.91M 0.90M
USD 15:30 (GMT) Unemployement Claims 369K 371K
USD 17:00 (GMT) Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 7.1 8.1
NZD 23:45 (GMT) CPI q/q 0.1% 0.3%
Currencies
AUD/USD Australia’s dollar slid versus all of its 16 major counterparts after a report today showed employers in the country unexpectedly cut payrolls last month, adding to concern the domestic economy is slowing.
Australia’s dollar lost 0.6 percent to $1.0507 at 2:53 p.m. in Sydney. It dropped 0.7 percent to 92.80 yen, extending its 1.2 percent decline in the previous two days. New Zealand’s currency slid 0.2 percent to 83.90 U.S. cents after rising 0.2 percent yesterday. It weakened 0.3 percent to 74.09 yen
USD/JPY The yen fell, snapping a two-day gain, as investors weighed the likelihood of new monetary easing measures by the Bank of Japan (8301) next week.
The yen slid 0.4 percent to 88.74 per dollar at 3:09 p.m. in Tokyo, after gaining 1.2 percent over the previous two days. It sank to 89.67 on Jan. 14, the lowest since June 2010. It fell 0.5 percent to 117.96 per euro. The euro was little changed at $1.3295.
USD/CAD The Canadian dollar fell against most of its major peers as government officials in Russia and Japan criticized monetary policies that have devalued major currencies in an attempt to spark economic growth.
The Canadian dollar, known as the loonie for the image of the waterfowl on the C$1 coin, declined 0.2 percent to 98.59 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:05 p.m. in Toronto. One loonie buys $1.0143
Commodities
Oil fell in New York as investors
speculated a rally to the highest level in four months was
exaggerated amid concern the global economic recovery may
falter, curbing fuel demand
Crude for February delivery declined as much as 44 cents to
$93.80 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile
Exchange and was at $93.83 at 1:12 p.m. Singapore time. The
contract climbed 96 cents to $94.24 yesterday, the most since
Jan. 2. It was the highest close since Sept. 18.
Brent oil for March settlement on the London-based ICE
Futures Europe exchange decreased as much as 23 cents to $109.45
a barrel. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of
$15.27 to New York-traded West Texas Intermediate for the same
month. The spread ended yesterday’s session at $16.37, the
narrowest since Sept. 19.
Gold traded little changed near a
two-week high as investors weighed concern about slowing global
economic growth and expectations for more stimulus. Palladium
was near the highest level since September 2011.
Spot gold was at $1,680.05 an ounce at 10:29 a.m. in Singapore from $1,679.95 yesterday. The metal reached $1,685.25 on Jan. 15, the most expensive since Jan. 3, as U.S. lawmakers wrangled over increasing the $16.4 trillion debt ceiling. Since 1960, Congress has raised or revised the debt limit 79 times, including 49 times under Republican presidents, according to the Treasury Department.
Equities
Asian stocks declined, with the regional benchmark index poised to fall a second day, after touching a 17-month high this week. The Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average headed for its biggest two-day drop since November 2011 after the yen reversed its losses.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.5 percent to 130.84
as of 1:42 p.m. Tokyo time, erasing gains of as much as 0.6
percent. The gauge rallied 9.8 percent from Nov. 14 through
yesterday as Japanese shares surged on speculation Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive stimulus
policies and reports showed recovery in the U.S. and China.
European stocks were little changed,
erasing an earlier retreat for the region’s benchmark Stoxx
Europe 600 Index, as U.S. industrial production climbed and
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s earnings topped estimates.
The Stoxx 600 rose less than 0.1 percent to 286.03 at the
close of trading, after earlier falling as much as 0.4 percent.
The gauge has advanced 2.3 percent since the start of the year
after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a budget, avoiding tax increases
and spending cuts
U.S stocks fell, following yesterday’s gain, as a cut in the World Bank’s growth forecasts offset a rally in Apple Inc. as investors watched earnings.
.
Three stocks retreated for every two rising on U.S. exchanges at 4 p.m. New York time. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced less than 0.1 percent to 1,472.63. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 23.66 points, or 0.2 percent, to 13,511.23. About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 8.6 percent below the three-month average.
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01-21-2013 07:27 AM
#4
acfx
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 21, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
EUR 09:00 (GMT) EuroGroup Meeting text text
Currencies
AUD/JPY The Australian dollar declined
versus the yen before an inflation report this week that may
prompt further interest-rate cuts, damping demand for the
nation’s assets.
Australia’s dollar declined 0.4 percent to 94.28 yen as of
1:21 p.m. in Sydney, and traded little changed at $1.0516 after
touching $1.0486 on Jan. 18, the least since Jan. 8. New
Zealand’s currency, known as the kiwi, weakened 0.8 percent to
74.84 yen. It declined 0.2 percent to 83.47 cents, after
touching 83.34, the lowest since Jan. 7.
USD/JPY The yen rallied from its weakest
level in 2 1/2 years as Asian stock declines spurred demand for
safety and a decrease in bearish bets supported the currency.
The yen rose 0.4 percent to 89.75 per dollar as of 11:52 a.m. in Tokyo after earlier touching 90.25, the weakest since June 2010. Japan’s currency gained 0.3 percent to 119.59 per euro, after sliding 0.8 percent last week. The dollar was little changed at $1.3324 per euro from its close on Jan. 18, when it advanced 0.4 percent.
GBP/USD The pound had its steepest weekly
drop against the dollar since June on concern the U.K. economy
is struggling to expand and as growing investor confidence in
the euro-area damps demand for the currency as a haven.
The pound fell 1.7 percent to $1.5861 in the week to 5:46
p.m. London time yesterday, after sliding to $1.5854, the lowest
level since Nov. 16. The U.K. currency lost 1.5 percent to 83.83
pence per euro after depreciating to 83.95 pence, the weakest
since March 28.
USD/CAD The Canadian dollar fell the most in a month against its U.S. counterpart as selling pressure emerged after signs of economic growth from the U.S. and China failed to drive the currency above a key technical level.
The loonie fell 0.7 percent to 99.17 cents per U.S. dollar
this week in Toronto, the largest decline since the five days
ended Dec. 21. One loonie buys $1.0084.
Commodities
Oil dropped from the highest price
in four months in New York before U.S. lawmakers vote on budget
measures and European finance ministers meet to discuss the debt
crisis that threatens the region’s economy.
WTI for February delivery, which expires tomorrow, slid as
much as 36 cents to $95.20 a barrel in electronic trading on the
New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $95.23 at 1:23 p.m.
Sydney time. The more-active March future declined 27 cents to
$95.77. The front-month future increased 7 cents to $95.56 on
Jan. 18, the highest close since Sept. 17.
Brent for March settlement fell 25 cents to $111.64 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The average volume of all contracts traded was 84 percent above the 100-day average. The European benchmark contract was at a premium of $15.89 to WTI futures for the same month. The gap was $15.16 on Jan. 17, the narrowest since July 24
Gold advanced on expectations for
more stimulus while U.S. lawmakers wrangle over the country’s
debt limit. Silver traded near the highest level in a month and
was set for the longest rally in a year
Gold rallied for a 12th year in 2012 on global stimulus
measures. The Bank of Japan starts a two-day policy meeting
today, while European finance ministers meet in Brussels for the
first time this year. In the U.S., House Republicans will use a
planned Jan. 23 vote on a three-month debt-ceiling increase to
try to force Senate Democrats to adopt a budget to spell out
their spending plan.
Equities
Asian stocks fell amid
speculation shares may have risen too far, too fast. Japanese
shares led the retreat as the yen climbed against the dollar
after hitting its lowest level in 2 1/2 years.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slid 0.1 percent to 132.62 as
of 11:35 a.m. in Tokyo, with about four stocks falling for every
three that rose. The gauge rallied 11 percent from Nov. 14
through Jan. 18 as Japanese shares jumped on optimism Prime
Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive stimulus
policies to boost the economy.
European stocks were little changed
this week as better-than-expected economic data from China and
the U.S. offset concern that debt-ceiling talks will weigh on
recovering growth in the world’s biggest economy.
The Stoxx 600 Europe Index fell less than 0.1 percent to 287.03 this week. The measure climbed to its highest level since February 2011 last week amid speculation that U.S. companies’ earnings would exceed analysts’ estimates.
U.S stocks rose for a third week,
driving benchmark indexes to five-year highs, as earnings from
companies including General Electric Co. and Goldman Sachs Group
Inc. beat estimates and debt-limit talks progressed.
The S&P 500 (SPX) rose 1 percent to 1,485.98, extending its 2013 advance to 4.2 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 161.27 points, or 1.2 percent, to 13,649.70. Both measures closed at their highest levels since December 2007.
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01-21-2013 07:37 AM
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01-21-2013 07:39 AM
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01-22-2013 07:05 AM
#7
acfx
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 22, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
JPY Tentative BOJ Press Conference
EUR 12:00 (GMT) German ZEW Economic Sentiment 12.2 6.9
CAD 15:30 (GMT) Core Retail Sales m/m 0.1% 0.5%
USD 17:00 (GMT) Existing Home Sales 5.09M 5.04M
EUR 20:00 (GMT) ECB President Draghi Speaks
Currencies
AUD/JPY The Australian dollar halted a two- day decline against the yen before the Bank of Japan (8301) concludes a policy meeting amid speculation it will announce further stimulus measures.
Australia’s dollar traded at 94.14 yen as of 1:41 p.m. in
Sydney from 94.23 yesterday after a 0.6 percent two-day decline.
It rose 0.1 percent to $1.0522. New Zealand’s dollar bought
75.04 yen from 74.91 yesterday and rose 0.4 percent to 83.89
U.S. cents
USD/JPY The yen weakened toward the lowest level since June 2010 after the Bank of Japan (8301) announced open- ended asset purchases and adopted a 2 percent inflation target.
The yen lost 0.2 percent to 89.78 per dollar at 1:11 p.m. in Tokyo. Japan’s currency weakened 0.4 percent to 119.78 per euro following a 0.6 percent advance to 119.30 yesterday. The euro gained 0.3 percent to $1.3350.
Commodities
Oil traded near a four-month high in New York as Japan’s central bank said it will expand asset purchases to lift the world’s third-biggest crude consumer out of its third recession in five years. Brent prices advanced.
Crude for February delivery, which expires today, was at
$95.59 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile
Exchange, up 3 cents at 11:53 a.m. Singapore time. The more
active March contract gained 8 cents at $96.12. Yesterday’s
transactions will be booked with today’s trades for settlement
purposes. Front-month futures rose 7 cents to $95.56 on Jan. 18,
the highest close since Sept. 17.
Brent oil for March settlement on the London-based ICE
Futures Europe exchange traded at $112.05 a barrel, up 34 cents.
The average volume of all contracts was 4 percent above the 100-
day average. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of
$15.97 to New York futures for the same month. The spread was
$15.16 on Jan. 17, the narrowest since July 24.
Gold extended its advance toward a one-month high after the Bank of Japan set a 2 percent inflation target and shifted to Federal Reserve-style open-ended asset purchases in an attempt to end two decades of deflation.
Spot gold increased as much as 0.2 percent to $1,693.30 an
ounce and traded at $1,692.60 at 12:08 p.m. in Singapore.
Bullion reached a one-month high of $1,696.29 on Jan. 17 on
concern global growth may slow. Gold for February delivery
gained 0.3 percent to $1,691.90 on the Comex in New York.
Equities
Asian stocks rose as the Bank of Japan (8301) said it would set a 2 percent inflation target and shifted to Federal Reserve-style open-ended asset purchases.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.2 percent to 132.43 as of of 1:12 p.m. in Tokyo, with about the same number of stocks rising and falling. Asia’s benchmark equities index is poised to gain for a third month amid signs the U.S. and Chinese economies are recovering and as Japanese shares rallied on Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s more aggressive stimulus policies.
European stocks climbed to a one-
week high as euro-area finance ministers met for the first time
this year to address the region’s debt crisis. U.S. index
futures advanced.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) rose 0.3 percent to 287.78 at the close of trading, the highest since Jan. 9. The gauge has gained 2.9 percent this year after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a budget deal avoiding most tax increases and spending cuts that had threatened to push the economy into a recession. With the so-called fiscal cliff averted, Congress now must decide whether to lift the federal debt limit as soon as mid-February
Canadian stocks rose, closing at the highest level in more than 17 months, as European finance ministers met for the first time this year to discuss a solution to the region’s debt crisis.
The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index (SPTSX) rose 68.56 points, or 0.5 percent, to 12,794.25 in Toronto, the highest close since August 2011. The benchmark gauge has gained 2.9 percent this year. Markets in New York were closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
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01-24-2013 08:24 AM
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 24, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
EUR 10:30 (GMT) German Flash Manufacturing PMI 47.1 46.0
USD 15:30 (GMT) Unemployement Claims 359K 335K
Currencies
AUD/USD Australian
currency rose versus the yen after a survey of companies
showed Chinese manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace in two
years, brightening the outlook for commodity exports.
Australia’s dollar rose 0.3 percent to 93.79 yen as of 3:19
p.m. in Sydney. It fell 0.3 percent to $1.0520. New Zealand’s
currency gained 0.7 percent to 75.19 yen and added 0.1 percent
to 84.34 U.S. cents.
USD/JPY The yen weakened, snapping a three- day advance against the dollar, as signs of strengthening manufacturing in China curbed Asian stock losses and damped demand for safer assets.
The yen lost 0.7 percent to 89.18 per dollar as of 1:09
p.m. in Tokyo after gaining 1.7 percent in the previous three
days. The Japanese currency reached 90.25 on Jan. 21, the
weakest level since June 2010. It fell 0.6 percent to 118.75 per
euro from yesterday. The dollar was little changed at $1.3315
per euro.
USD/CAD The Canadian dollar fell to parity against its U.S. counterpart after the Bank of Canada said the need to raise interest rates is less urgent as the economy will take longer to reach full output
The Canadian dollar, known as the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, fell 0.7 percent to 99.92 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:02 p.m. in Toronto. It touched the weakest level since Nov. 19. One loonie buys $1.0008.
The currency weakened beyond its 200-day moving average at
99.83 cents.
Commodities
Oil traded near the lowest level in
a week in New York after U.S. crude stockpiles gained and
capacity on the Seaway pipeline was reduced.
West Texas Intermediate crude for March delivery was at
$95.46 a barrel, up 23 cents, in electronic trading on the New
York Mercantile Exchange at 1:27 p.m. Sydney time. The contract
dropped $1.45 yesterday, the most since Dec. 21, to the lowest
price since Jan. 16. The average volume of all futures traded
was 75 percent above the 100-day average.
Brent for March settlement fell 32 cents to $112.48 a
barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The
European benchmark contract was at a premium of $17.04 to WTI
futures, down from $17.57 yesterday. The gap was $15.16 on Jan.
17, the narrowest in almost six months
Gold will rally this year and into
2014 as U.S. Federal Reserve policy makers will probably
maintain asset purchases for two more years to buttress the
recovery of the largest economy, according to Morgan Stanley.
Gold for immediate-delivery fell 0.2 percent at $1,682.05 an ounce at 12:24 p.m. in Singapore. The price dropped to $1,625.85 on Jan. 4, the lowest level since August, after the release of the FOMC minutes. Gold, which slumped 5.5 percent in the three months to December, has gained 0.4 percent this year.
Equities
Asian stocks swung between gains and losses as Japanese shares rallied on a weaker yen, China’s manufacturing beat estimates and North Korea threatened a nuclear test. Apple Inc. (AAPL) suppliers fell after the company reported its slowest profit growth since 2003.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slid 0.1 percent to 131.96 as of 1:07 p.m. in Tokyo, after gaining as much as 0.1 percent and falling 0.4 percent. About four stocks rose for every three that retreated. The gauge jumped 10 percent through yesterday from Nov. 14, when elections were announced in Japan, spurring a rally in the country’s shares amid speculation the new government would do whatever was necessary to end deflation.
European stocks advanced, after remaining little changed for most of the day, as the U.S. House of Representatives gathered to vote on suspending the country’s debt limit and as results from Novartis to Unilever (ULVR) beat analyst estimates.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) added 0.2 percent to 288.22 in London, as the number of shares rising and those falling were roughly even. The gauge this month surged to the highest level since February 2011 as U.S. lawmakers agreed on a compromise budget and American companies reported better-than-projected earnings.
U.S stocks rose, after benchmark indexes reached five-year highs, as lawmakers
voted to temporarily suspend the federal debt limit and technology
stocks rallied amid better-than-forecast earnings.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.2 percent to 1,494.81 at 4
p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 67.12 points, or
0.5 percent, to 13,779.33. About 6.1 billion shares changed hands on
U.S. exchanges, in line with the three-month average. Nasdaq 100 futures
dropped 1.7 percent to 2,712 as of 6:18 p.m. on Apple’s earnings
report.
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01-25-2013 07:13 AM
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 25, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
EUR 11:00 (GMT) German Ifo Business Climate 103.1 102.4
GBP 11:30 (GMT) Prelim GDP q/q -0.1% 0.9%
CAD 15:30 (GMT) Core CPI m/m -0.2% 0.0%
USD 17:00 (GMT) New Home Sales 387K 377K
Currencies
EUR/USD The Australian dollar rose versus the yen for a second day on speculation pressure will increase on the Bank of Japan (8301) to expand stimulus after core consumer prices in the nation declined last month.
Australia’s dollar rose 0.2 percent to 94.54 yen as of 1:45
p.m. in Sydney. It fell as low as $1.0439, the weakest since
Jan. 4, before trading little changed at $1.0452.
USD/JPY The yen headed for a record stretch
of weekly losses against the dollar as data showing a decline in
Japanese consumer prices added to the case for further monetary
stimulus from the central bank.
The Japanese currency slid 0.1 percent to 90.45 per dollar
at 1:17 p.m. in Tokyo from yesterday, after earlier touching
90.69, the weakest since June 21, 2010. It was set for an 11th
weekly loss, the longest losing streak in data compiled by
Bloomberg going back to 1971.
GBP/USD The pound fell to the weakest level in 11 months versus the euro before data tomorrow that economists said will show U.K. gross domestic product shrank last quarter.
The pound depreciated 0.8 percent to 84.76 pence per euro
at 4:35 p.m. London time after sliding to 84.81 pence, the
weakest since Feb. 28. Sterling fell 0.4 percent to $1.5780
after declining to $1.5757, the lowest since Aug. 28.
Commodities
Oil headed for a seventh weekly
advance in New York, the longest run of gains in almost four
years, amid signs of global economic growth and a drop in crude
stockpiles at Cushing, the U.S. storage hub.
Crude for March delivery was at $95.88 a barrel, down 7
cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange
at 1:11 p.m. Sydney time. Futures rose 0.8 percent to $95.95
yesterday, the most since Jan. 17, and are up 0.4 percent this
week. A seventh weekly gain would be the longest run since April
2009. The average volume of all futures traded today was 61
percent below the 100-day average.
Brent for March settlement fell 17 cents to $113.11 a
barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The
European benchmark contract was at a premium of $17.27 to WTI
futures, down from $17.33 yesterday. The gap was $15.16 on Jan.
17, the narrowest in almost six months.
Gold was poised for a weekly decline after reports from the U.S. to China signaled improving global growth, curbing demand for the metal as a haven asset. Platinum was on course for the best run of weekly gains in almost a year.
Gold for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.3 percent to $1,663.85 an ounce, the cheapest since Jan. 14, and was at $1,667.85 at 12:51 p.m. in Singapore. Prices are 1 percent lower this week, the most since the period to Dec. 21. Bullion for February delivery dropped as much as 0.4 percent to $1,662.60 an ounce, also the lowest since Jan. 14, on the Comex in New York
Equities
Asian stocks rose as declines
in Japanese consumer prices added to the case for more monetary
stimulus, boosting the Topix Index toward its longest weekly
winning streak in 40 years. Shares also gained after U.S.
jobless claims fell to a five-year low.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) rose less than 0.1 percent to 131.49 as of 12:50 p.m. in Tokyo. About five stocks gained for every four that fell. The gauge is set for a 0.9 percent loss this week after a two-day retreat from the highest close in 17- months on Jan 22.
European stocks climbed to their
highest level since February 2011 as jobless claims in the U.S.
fell to a five-year low and the House of Representatives voted
to temporarily suspend the federal government’s borrowing limit.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) gained 0.2 percent to 288.89 at the close of trading, after earlier sliding as much as 0.4 percent. The equity benchmark has climbed 3.3 percent this year after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a compromise budget.
U.S stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index briefly topping 1,500, as an unexpected drop in jobless claims and better-than-forecast earnings offset the worst slump for Apple Inc. (AAPL) in four years.
The S&P 500 (SPX) was unchanged at 1,494.82, after rallying as much as 0.5 percent earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 46 points, or 0.3 percent, to 13,825.33. The Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) slid 1.4 percent to 2,723.53. More than 6.8 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 10 percent above the three-month average.
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01-29-2013 08:36 AM
#1 0
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Daily Market Outlook
Posted by on January 29, 2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous
USD 15:00 (GMT) CB Consumer Confidence 64.8 65.1
Currencies
&
#9 632;EUR/USD The dollar weakened against most of its 16 major counterparts as investors pared bets the Federal Reserve will signal a change to its asset-buying program at the end of a two-day meeting tomorrow. The U.S. currency was 0.2 percent from its lowest in 11 months versus the euro before a report today forecast to show confidence among U.S. consumers declined this month.
&
#9 632;The dollar traded at $1.3440 per euro as of 3:03 p.m. in Tokyo from $1.3456 in New York. It reached $1.3479 per euro on Jan. 25, the weakest level since Feb. 29, 2012.
&
#9 632;AUD/USD The so-called Aussie dollar rose against 14 of its 16 major counterparts after data showed the nation’s business confidence for December rebounded by the most in more than a decade.
&
#9 632;Australia’s dollar rose 0.4 percent to $1.0454 from the close yesterday when it touched $1.0385, the least since Jan. 2
&
#9 632;USD/CAD The Canadian dollar traded close to a six-month low versus its U.S. counterpart as signs of slower economic growth weighed on demand.
&
#9 632;The loonie, as the Canadian dollar is called for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, was little changed at C$1.0063 per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. in Toronto, after reaching its lowest point since July 26. One loonie buys 99.37 U.S. cents.
Commodities
&
#9 632;Oil traded near the highest level in four months in New York on signs of economic growth in the U.S. and after OPEC Secretary General Abdalla El-Badri said prices are unlikely to drop this year.
&
#9 632;Crude for March delivery was at $96.72 a barrel, up 28 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:22 p.m. Singapore time. The average volume of all contracts traded was 50 percent below the 100-day average. Futures rose to $96.44 yesterday, the highest since Sept. 17.
&
#9 632;Brent for March settlement rose 10 cents to $113.58 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The average volume of all contracts traded was 40 percent below the 100-day average. The European benchmark grade was at a premium of $16.86 to West Texas Intermediate futures, from $17.04 yesterday.
&
#9 632;Gold holdings in exchange-traded products are poised for the biggest monthly decline in more than a year as signs that the global economic recovery is strengthening curb demand for haven investments.
&
#9 632;Gold for April delivery gained as much as 0.4 percent to $1,661.50 an
ounce, and traded at $1,660.40 at 1:11 p.m. in Singapore. Futures fell
0.9 percent this year, lagging behind gains in silver, platinum and
palladium, metals used mainly in industry that benefit from faster
economic growth.
Equities
&
#9 632;Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index headed for its biggest gain in a week, as Japan’s largest lenders jumped on speculation a recent share rally will boost profit. Australia’s market climbed after a holiday and Korean shares rebounded from yesterday’s loss.
&
#9 632;The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.9 percent to 132.5 as of 3:33 p.m. in Tokyo, headed for its biggest advance since Jan. 18, with more than twice as many shares rising as declining. The gauge jumped 9.6 percent from Nov. 14 through yesterday, led by Japanese shares on optimism Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s new government will take the necessary steps to fight deflation.
&
#9 632;U.K. stocks rose, extending their highest level since May 2008, as a report showed that durable- goods orders in the U.S., Britain’s biggest trading partner, rose at a faster rate than economists had estimated.
&
#9 632;The FTSE 100 added 9.96 points, or 0.2 percent, to 6,294.41 at the close in London. The equity benchmark has gained 6.7 percent so far in 2013, its best start to a year since 1989, as U.S. lawmakers agreed on a compromise budget. The broader FTSE All-Share Index rose 0.1 percent today, while Ireland’s ISEQ Index was little changed.
&
#9 632;U.S stocks fell, following the longest rally for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since 2004, as a drop in pending home sales overshadowed a rise in durable- goods orders while investors watched earnings.
&
#9 632;The S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent to 1,500.18 at 4 p.m. in New York. The equity benchmark closed above 1,500 last week for the first time since December 2007 after an eight-day rally.
&
#9 632;The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 14.05 points, or 0.1 percent, to 13,881.93 today. The Nasdaq 100 Index added 0.2 percent to 2,742.43. About 6.1 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 1.1 percent below the three-month average.
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.
Daily Market Outlook from ACFX 09/12/2013
Important Financial Indicators of the day
GBP - 10:00 (GMT) - Inflation Report Hearings
EUR - 12:40 (GMT) - ECB President Draghi Speaks
USD - 13:30 (GMT) - Unemployment Claims - Forecast 332K - Previous 323K
Currencies
&
#9 726;EUR/USD The dollar remained lower against most of its major peers as traders speculated whether the U.S. economy is strong enough for Federal Reserve policy makers to consider a reduction in stimulus when they meet next week. The greenback traded near the lowest this month against the euro before a report forecast to show U.S. jobless claims rose.
&
#9 726;The dollar was little changed at $1.3315 per euro as of 1:27 p.m. in Tokyo from yesterday, when it touched $1.3325, the weakest since Aug. 29.
&
#9 726;GBP/USD The pound strengthened to a seven-month high against the dollar after a government report showed unemployment unexpectedly declined, adding to signs the U.K. economy is gaining momentum.
&
#9 726;The pound advanced 0.5 percent to $1.5811 at 4:42 p.m. London time after rising to $1.5827, the highest since Feb. 8.
&
#9 726;AUD/USD Australia’s dollar slid versus all its major counterparts after data showed the nation’s payrolls unexpectedly fell and unemployment climbed to a four-year high.
&
#9 726;The Australia’s currency lost 0.8 percent to 92.52 U.S. cents as of 3:22 p.m. in Sydney, after earlier reaching 93.54 cents, the strongest since June 19.
Commodities
&
#9 726;Oil West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses after Saudi Arabia, the biggest producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, said the global oil market is well-supplied.
&
#9 726;WTI for October delivery was at $107.59 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 3 cents, at 1:36 p.m. Singapore time. The contract climbed 17 cents to $107.56 yesterday. The volume of all futures traded was about 54 percent less than the 100-day average.
&
#9 726;Gold retreated to a three-week low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will commit to reducing stimulus next week. Silver fell, while platinum declined to the lowest in a month.
&
#9 726;Gold for immediate delivery dropped as much as 0.8 percent to $1,354.51 an ounce, the lowest level since Aug. 20, and traded at $1,358.42 at 2:07 p.m. in Singapore. Bullion for December delivery lost as much as 0.7 percent to $1,353.80 an ounce on the Comex in New York, also the lowest since Aug. 2
Equities
&
#9 726;Asian stocks. Asia’s benchmark stock index swung between gains and losses after Japanese machinery orders accelerated less than expected and as investors await the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week.
&
#9 726;The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell less than 0.1 percent to 137.55 as of 3:30 p.m. in Tokyo, trading near a three-month high. About five shares rose for every four that fell on the measure, which swung between gains of 0.1 percent and losses of 0.2 percent. The index climbed 6.6 percent in the past 10 days.
&
#9 726;European stocks rose, sending the benchmark index to a five-year high, after investors said the region’s economy was improving. The Australian dollar fell for the first time in a week and the nation’s bonds rallied after unemployment increased. The yen strengthened and metals dropped.
&
#9 726;The Stoxx The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 0.1 percent by 8:24 a.m. in London, while Standard & Poor’s 500 Index contracts lost 0.1 percent.
&
#9 726;U.S stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a one-month high, as diminishing concern over a military strike against Syria offset Apple Inc.’s biggest decline since April.
&
#9 726;The S&P 500 rose 0.3 percent to 1,689.13 at 4 p.m. in New York, the seventh straight winning session and the highest level since Aug. 13.