Hotforex - Market Analysis and News.

[HFM]

Date : 16th December 2014

EURUSD MAKING NEW HIGHS IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION. GERMAN ZEW ECONOMIC SENTIMENT ON TAP.​

URUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2436. The Industrial Production in the United States rose more than the market expectations registering a 1.3 percent rise on a monthly basis in November – its highest rise since 2010. On the other hand the Empire State Manufacturing Index registered a sharp drop to a level of -3.6. The NAHB Housing Market Index also dropped to 57.0 in December.

Investors are now looking forward for the German ZEW Economic Sentiment and also the US Building Permits report.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2414 and resistance is seen at 1.2522.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 17th December 2014

EURUSD TRADING LOWER AHEAD OF THE US SESSION. FOMC MEETING MINUTES AND FEDERAL FUNDS RATE ON FOCUS.​

EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2510. Data released yesterday indicated that the German ZEW Economic Sentiment rose to a level of 34.9 in December. The ZEW Economic Sentiment in the Eurozone also rose to a level of 31.8. The single European currency was also supported by the German Flash Manufacturing PMI which advanced to a level of 51.2 in December.

Data from the United States showed that the Flash Manufacturing PMI dropped to a level of 53.7 in December. The Building Permits and Housings starts in the US also registered a small drop.

Investors are now looking forward for the US CPI and Core CPI releases due in the afternoon and the FOMC Meeting Minutes, FOMC Statement and the Federal Funds rate due from the United States later today. The possibility of high volatility on the market during the FOMC releases exists and investors should be fully aware of the potential volatile price action which may be seen.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2414 and resistance is seen at 1.2553.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 19th December 2014

EURUSD CONTINUES TO PRINT NEW LOWS ON FRIDAY.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2285. Data released yesterday indicated that the German Ifo Business Climate rose to a level of 105.5 in December. Data from the United States indicated that the Unemployment Claims during the last week dropped to 289K. On the other hand the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index dropped more than the market expectations to a level of 24.5 in December. The Flash Services Purchasing Managers Index also recorded a drop to a level of 53.6 in December. The CB Leading Index month over month came out in line with the market expectations at a reading of 0.6 percent in November.

No major economic releases are due from Europe and the United States for the rest of the trading day, but investors should be fully aware that any potential market commentary may bring volatility on the market.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2258 and resistance is seen at 1.2369.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 22nd December 2014

EURUSD TRADING LOWER AHEAD OF THE US EXISTING HOME SALES REPORT.​

EURUSD dropped on Friday and closed at 1.2227. The German Consumer Confidence Index rose to a level of 9. The Current Account in the Eurozone dropped more than expected to 20.5B in October. In the United States the Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index rose to a level of 8.0 in December, beating the market expectations for a steady reading of 7.0 which was recorded during the previous month.

The President of the United States Federal Reserve in Richmond Jeffrey Lacker supported the latest decision of Fed to keep the interest rates steady and added that he would look for a little more data before actually supporting an interest rate hike.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2218 and resistance is seen at 1.2349.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 23rd December 2014

EURUSD PRINTING NEW LOWS AHEAD OF THE US FINAL GDP REPORT.​

EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2229. Data released from the Eurozone indicated that the Consumer Confidence in the single currency bloc rose slightly to -11 in November. In Germany the Import Price Index dropped to -0.8 percent on a monthly basis in November.

Data from the United States showed that the Existing Home Sales dropped to a six-month low in December coming at a reading of 4.93M.

Investors are now looking forward for the Final GDP data for the 3rd quarter from the United States as well as the Core Durable Goods Orders month over month and the New Home Sales reports. During the time of the releases high volatility may be seen on the market and investors should be fully aware of that.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2205 and resistance is seen at 1.2300.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[blackdiamond]

I am waiting for today analysis. last week was holiday and not too much volatility.

 

[HFM]

Date : 2nd January 2015

EURUSD CONTINUES TO PRINT NEW LOWS IN THE FIRST TRADING DAY FOR 2015. US ISM MANUFACTURING PMI DUE TODAY.​

EURUSD dropped on Wednesday and closed at 1.2100. The President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi indicated that ECB is in technical preparations to amend the size and the speed of its measures in 2015. Yesterday Lithuania became the 19th member o the single currency bloc.

Data released on the 31st of December indicated that the Unemployment Claims in the United States rose to 298K. The Chicago PMI dropped to a level of 58.3 in December 2014.

Investors are now looking forward for the ISM Manufacturing PMI due from the United States later today.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2046 and resistance is seen at 1.2130.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[blackdiamond]

this pair just break the support level and now is trading at 1.19xxx. the most lowest level in years.

 

[HFM]

Date : 5th January 2015

EURUSD PRINTED FRESH 9 YEAR LOWS ON WORRIES OF GREEK EUROZONE EX.​

EURUSD dropped on Friday and closed at 1.2001. The Manufacturin PMI in Germany remained unchanged at a reading of 52.1 in December 2014. On the other hand the Manufacturing PMI in the Eurozone dropped to a reading of 50.6 in December. Data released from the United States revealed that the ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped of 55.5. The Final Manufacturing PMI in the US also dropped to a level of 53.9 in December.

Over the weekend fears about a potential Greek exit of the Eurozone if the Greek opposition party Syriza wins the elections in January caused large gaps on the market. EURUSD stops were triggered and the pair hit a 9 year low level dropping to 1.1856.

Investors are now awaiting the German Preliminary CPI data and the speech of the FOMC Member John Williams.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1869 and resistance is seen at 1.1978.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 6th January 2015

EURUSD TRADING BELOW THE 1.19 LEVEL AHEAD OF THE US SESSION. ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PMI FROM THE UNITED STATES DUE TODAY.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1932. The German Preliminary Consumer Price Index remained flat in December against the market expectations of a 0.1 percent rise. On the other hand the Sentix Investor Confidence in the Eurozone rose to a level of 0.9 in January. The number of unemployed people in Spain dropped to a level of 64.4K in December.

During his statement the President of the United States Federal Reserve in San Francisco, John Williams opined that the increase of the interest rates should be gradual at the beginning. He also indicated that the policymakers have been discussing the potential rate increase by the middle of 2015.

Investors are now looking forward for the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI due from the United States later today.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1869 and resistance is seen at 1.1978.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 7th January 2015

EURUSD PREPARING TO TEST THE 1.18 LEVEL AFTER NEGATIVE CPI FROM THE EUROZONE AND BETTER THAN EXPECTED ADP NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE REPORT FROM THE UNITED STATES.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1889. The Final Services PMI in the Eurozone came out closed to the market expectations at 51.6. The same report from the United States followed and also came close to the market expectations at a reading of 53.3. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI failed to meet the market expectations and came out at a reading of 56.2 in December.

Data released today pushed to EURUSD even lower. The CPI Flash Estimate year over year report from the Eurozone came out at a reading of -0.2 percent. That’s the first time since 2009 where the Eurozones’s CPI declines. A report from the United States pressurized the single European currency after the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came out better than the market expectations at a reading of 241K.

While the EURUSD is looking to potentially break the 1.18 level investors are looking forward for the FOMC Meeting Minutes due later today.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1817 and resistance is seen at 1.1936.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[blackdiamond]

BEARISH No sign for a price rising althought it has broken support levels multiple times.

 

[HFM]

Date : 8th January 2015

EURUSD KEEPS PRINTING NEW LOWS IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION. THE US UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS REPORT DUE TODAY.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1838. The Consumer Price Index in the Eurozone dropped -0.2 percent on an annual basis in December. The fall of the prices for a 2nd consecutive month might pressurize the European Central Bank to start its stimulus program immediately.

The FOMC Meeting Minutes showed that most of the Fed officials agreed that the central bank do not consider increasing rates before April 2015. The Trade Balance in the United States came out better than expected at -39.0B in November 2014. The positive tone for the US dollar was also confirmed by the better than expected ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report which came out 241K in December against the expected reading of 227K.

Investors are now looking forward for the Unemployment Claims report.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1763 and resistance is seen at 1.1889.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 9th January 2015

EURUSD TRADING FLAT AHEAD OF THE US NON-FARM PAYROLLS REPORT.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1792. The single European currency came under pressure after the German Factory Orders dropped 2.4 percent on a monthly basis in November. On the other hand the Retail Sales data from the Eurozone came out better than expected recording a gain of 0.6 percent in November.

Data from the United States indicated that the Unemployment Claims during the last week were 294K which was close to the market expectations of a reading of 291K and less than the previous week’s report of 298K.

Investors are now looking forward for the US Non-Farm Employment Change report and the Unemployment rate data. The possibility of high volatility on the market prior and after the releases exists and investors should be fully aware of it.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1763 and resistance is seen at 1.1889.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[blackdiamond]

Short-term sell is ready.

 

[HFM]

Date : 12th January 2015

EURUSD TRADING NEAR THE LOWS IN THE LATE EUROPEAN SESSION. LIGHT ECONOMIC CALENDAR TODAY.​

EURUSD rose on Friday and closed at 1.1840. The German Industrial Production dropped on a monthly basis coming at a reading of 0.1 percent in November. The Unemployment Rate in the United States fell to a 15-year low level of 5.6 percent in December. The Non-Farm Payrolls surprised the investors coming better than the market expectations with a gain of 252K in December. The Wholesale Inventories also followed the positive tone registering a rise of 0.8 percent.

The President of the United States Federal Reserve in Richmond, Jeffrey Lacker expressed his optimism about the US economy and projected a rise of the GDP from 2.5 to 3 percent in 2015.

On the other hand the President of the Federal Reserve in Chicago, Charles Evans stated that even as the labor market continues to show considerable progress the current inflation and the inflation outlook remain low and Fed should avoid increasing rates until 2016.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1763 and resistance is seen at 1.1889.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 13th January 2015

EURUSD TRADING NEAR THE 1.1800 LEVEL AFTER PUSHING HIGHER IN THE ASIAN SESSION.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1833. The European Central Bank Governing Council Member Ewald Nowotny stated that the central bank should act soon rather than later to boost the economic growth and inflation in the currency union. Nowotny also added that the policymakers are discussing steps including bond buying in order to spur the growth in the region. It is also widely expected that the ECB will announce a launch of the QE program as early as 21st January, as consumer prices in the EU are into deflationary territory according to the preliminary data that was released.

During his speech yesterday the President of the United States Federal Reserve in Atlanta Dennis Lockhart indicated that the sees the US economy moving ahead in its recovery. Lockhart added that he sees the potential increase in the interest rates in the middle of 2015.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1763 and resistance is seen at 1.1889.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 14th January 2015

EURUSD DROPS BELOW 1.1747 WHILE ECB CONTINUES TO DISCUSS THE QE PROGRAM. US RETAIL SALES DATA DUE TODAY.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1771. Data released yesterday showed that the German Wholesale Price Index dropped 1.0 percent on a monthly basis in December. On the other hand the Industrial Production in Italy rose 0.3 percent on a monthly basis in November beating the market expectations of a 0.1 percent rise.

In the United States the NFIB Small Business Index rose to a level of 100.4 in December. Another report revealed that the JOLTS Job Openings advanced to a reading of 4.97M in November.

The World Bank increased the economic growth forecast for the United States to 3.2 percent from 3.0 percent projected earlier, while downgrading the Eurozone economic growth forecast to 1.1 percent from the 1.8 percent projected earlier.

Investors are now looking forward for the Retail Sales data due to be released from the United States later today.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1734 and resistance is seen at 1.1870.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 15th January 2015

A HISTORICAL DAY FOR THE FOREX MARKET – EURUSD DROPPED BELOW 1.1600 AFTER SNB REMOVED THE 1.20 PEG.​

EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.1789. The European Court of Justice ruled that the ECB bond buying program was legitimate once certain conditions were met. Basically the ruling cleared the obstacle in front of the program and the QE might be launched when ECB decides.

Data from the United States revealed that the dropped 0.9 percent in December. The Core Retail Sales recorded a drop of 1.0 percent.

The President of the United States Federal Reserve in Philadelphia Charles Plosser urged the central bank to hike the interest rates soon, citing the improvements in the US economic conditions.

During the European session today the Swiss National Bank decided to remove the peg from the 1.20 level on the EURCHF. The release shocked the markets and caused large moves on a large number of currency pairs sending EURUSD below the 1.1600 level.

Reports released from the United States indicated that the Unemployment Claims rose slightly during the last week to 316K. On the other hand the Core PPI and the Empire State Manufacturing Index surprised the markets with better than expected performance.

Investors are now looking forward for the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and the speech of the Deutsche Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann due later today.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1660 and resistance is seen at 1.1825.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

 

[HFM]

Date : 16th January 2015

EURUSD TRADING HIGHER AHEAD OF THE EUROZONE’S FINAL CPI DATA.​

EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.1632. The Trade Balance in the Eurozone increased to 20 Billion Euro in November. Data from the United States indicated that the initial jobless claims rose to 316K during the last week. On the other hand the Empire State Manufacturing Index rose to a level of 10 in January.

The President of the United States Federal Reserve in Boston Eric Rosengren opined that he is not confident about the US moving towards the 2 percent inflation target and urged the central bank to remain patient about increasing the interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward for the Final CPI data from the Eurozone and the CPI data from the United States. Later on the Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment is due to be released from the United States.

Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.1583 and resistance is seen at 1.1740.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.