• The Forex, Binary Options Forum - welcomes you to our Community!

    DigitalCashPalace Forum is dedicated to discussions about Forex, Binary Options, commodities, stocks related.

    Please take a look around, and feel free to .

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Watch FXOpen's October 31 - November 4 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

  • FTSE 100 rockets as oil giant reaps the profits
  • The Fed shook the market. What's next?
  • UK Interest Rate announcement
  • Will the Oil price rise?

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.



FXOpen YouTube

Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
 
House prices in the UK take a nosedive hinting at depth of recession
dc.jpg


Whilst it certainly is true that house prices in the UK do not bear a direct relation to the capital markets or world of multi-asset electronic trading, it is most certainly a point of interest that when house prices move up or down, it is an indicator of the confidence in, and security of the domestic economy.

Britain is a home-owning nation. The phrase 'An Englishman's home is his castle' has been very appropriate for many generations and more than just a home, many residents in the United Kingdom see their home as a solid investment which should appreciate steadily over time.

Therefore, when house prices actually decrease, especially by some significant amount, such a decrease can be used as a measure of the weakening condition of the overall economy, which in turn may affect currency and stock markets.

The decreasing value of the British Pound against Western major currencies during the course of mid-2022 until very recently has been a case in point.

Just a few days after the shortest tenure for any Prime Minister in British history was held by Liz Truss for just 44 days, replacement Prime Minister Rishi Sunak took office and the new Chancellor of the Exchequer reversed Ms. Truss and former chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng's budget, with some commentators having even ventured their opinion that had it not been reversed, severe fiscal damage may have been done to the British economy.

Now, as the economy continues to flounder, house prices are at their lowest point since February 2021, this time caused by the increasing cost of borrowing money from banks in the form of mortgages, and the removal of a series of mortgage products from the market by no less than 10 British banks.

Those with mortgages are set for in some cases substantial increases in monthly payments as the interest rates continue to rise, with an expectation of 5 to 6% being reached by January 2023.

Average house prices slid 0.4 per cent between September and October, the most they have fallen since February 2021 and following a 0.1 per cent decline in September according to data from Halifax, one of the UK's largest mortgage lenders.

In February 2021, house prices were at a low point after a brutal period of lockdowns during which many people found their place of employment closed by the government, and payment holidays were commonplace as were fears of unaffordability of monthly commitments.

During the middle of 2021, the British government canceled stamp duty (property purchase tax) for buyers of properties under a certain value, which boosted the market and prices of lower valued properties increased tremendously, largely bolstered by 'buy-to=let' landlords picking up properties with no purchase tax.

That has long since ended, and now with the economy in a sustained state of recession, house prices are once again an indicator of the overall health of the fiscal position in the United Kingdom.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
 
US Tech stocks under scrutiny as layoffs make presence felt
tech-stocks.jpg


During the course of last year, the previously very steady 'big tech' stocks became very volatile.

Big tech - a term often used to describe large-cap, publicly listed technology giants with their origins in Silicon Valley such as Meta, Alphabet (Google), Twitter, Tesla, Netflix and Amazon - is an area of the US stock market indices which has over recent years attracted steady, conservative investment due to overall lack of sudden movements.

The past 12 months have turned that on its head, and there have been times at which the Dow Jones and S&P500 indices, along with the overall performance of the two major New York-based stock exchanges, NYSE and NASDAQ having been affected noticeably by larger moves than had previously been the case.

One of the reasons for the sudden volatility had been the need for US tech firms to have to pay their suppliers and employees in different countries more, due to inflation and the depreciation of certain currencies against the US Dollar, however there had been a few more reasons and some of them are down to internal corporate policy. For example, Elon Musk's recent attempts to purchase Twitter have been surrounded by speculation that he may fire a substantial proportion of the existing workforce.

Overall, however, the staff redundancies in the big tech sector have not been limited to high profile speculation about Elon Musk's plans at Twitter. They have been far more widespread than this, as depicted by last week's employment figures released by the US Government.

Whilst some 261,000 new jobs were filled in the United States in October, blowing away analyst expectations of 200,000, the tech sector has been slowing down recruitment, and in some cases laying off existing staff.

Amazon, Apple and Facebook (Meta) have all announced hiring freezes, and in some cases are making redundancies.

Californian ride-sharing app developer Lyft is about to lay off 13% of its staff, and among the bigshots, Facebook is looking at reducing its workforce at subsidiaries WhatsApp and Instagram.

On a Year on Year basis, Amazon stock is down over 40% and Apple stock is down 25%, partly caused by production delays of its new iPhone 14 which is produced in China and has been subject to factory closures due to the Chinese government's draconian lockdowns which are still in force.

If the sensationalist news is to be believed, Twitter would look to lay off half of its entire payroll under Elon Musk's leadership.

Interestingly, despite the clear downturn in tech company revenues and their intention to reduce headcount compared to the 'low tech' American industries actually hiring more than expected in October, the S&P500 is actually up to 3,800 today compared to yesterday's low point of less than 3,700 which represented a five-day low.

The NASDAQ composite index is up a little too, at 10,560 over yesterday's 10,294 but today's increases still do not take it back to the high points at the beginning of last week.

It appears as though these possible layoffs are currently lingering in the background and until they have actually taken place, corporate performance is still being taken at face value.

What this does show, however, is that tech stocks are still quite steady and not so easily affected by news and are more affected by actions from within the firms themselves.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
 
Top