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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

The best option to follow London and New York session. Most of the days market remains active during this session. Again it is also important about comfort.
 
Investors Expect US Dollar’s Safety Despite Rising Inflation

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A new trading month has started pretty much on the same note as the previous one: rising inflation and a stronger US dollar. Last Friday, inflation in the Eurozone and the United States exceeded expectations.

In Germany, for example, it is above 4%, and the last time the annual inflation was as high, the interest rates were higher still. In the US, the Core PCE inflation rose by +0.3% in the previous month. This is the Fed’s favorite way of measuring inflation because it does not consider energy and food prices.

Speaking of energy prices, they are going through the roof. Last week, some interesting milestones were reached. First, Brent crude oil has reached $80/barrel, a 3-year high. Second, Asian coal has reached $203 a tonne, also a record. Natural gas in Europe and Asia hit a record high as well, $34/mBtu.

Although energy prices are not included in the Core PCE calculation, Core PCE is still on the rise, which is evident from Friday’s data. If we judge by the M2 (i.e., money supply)’s correlation to inflation, as shown by the chart below, then inflation is just about to explode.

Why Is US Dollar Getting Stronger Despite Rising Inflation?
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One of the questions that many traders and investors are asking is, why is the US dollar getting stronger in a rising inflation environment? Indeed, the US dollar gained against its peers in 2021. Take the EUR/USD exchange rate: it started the year above 1.23 and closed last Friday around 1.16 – a decline of over seven big figures (i.e., seven hundred pips).

There are a few reasons for this. First, USD’s status as the world's reserve currency has not changed during the pandemic despite the US Federal Reserve printing more money than ever.

Second, the Fed prepares to remove some of the monetary accommodation. Most likely, the Fed will announce the start of the tapering of its asset purchases program in November, and the actual reduction in bond-buying in December. Thus, there will be no more bond-buying from the Fed by the middle of next year, as quantitative easing will have officially ended.

In doing so, the Fed is way ahead of other central banks. And it responds to – you guessed it – rising inflation.

Rising inflation prompts central banks to tighten the monetary policy. The quicker the response, the easier it would be to contain the rise in the prices of goods and services. Judging by how far the prices went, it could be that the Fed and other central banks in the world are behind the curve with their monetary policy measures.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 05th OCT, 2021

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BTCUSD: Rising Uptrend Channel Above $48k

Bitcoin is gaining traders sentiment and inching towards $50k in the London trading session. BTC is moving in a rising uptrend channel formation currently trading above its 100 hourly moving averages of $47914. The medium to long term outlook for bitcoin remains bullish with immediate targets for today at $52900.

Relative strength index (14-day) and ultimate oscillator are both indicating a BUY at the current market levels of $49488.

  • A bullish momentum is seen above the levels of 47801. The price is expected to remain above these levels.
  • BTCUSD is expected to touch an intraday high of $52500 in the US trading session.
  • Simple and exponential moving averages indicate a strong BUY.
  • Average true range (14-day) indicates less volatility.

Bitcoin Medium-Term Bullish Trend

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Bitcoin saw a bullish tone this week and has since continued to rise aiming towards the $50k mark. It is now facing classic resistance levels of $50083 after which the path towards $52000 will get cleared.

In the last 24 hrs BTCUSD has risen by +3.50% to reach +2020$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 33.36 billion.

Bitcoin Demand Continues

The year 2021 has been a turnaround year for bitcoin after its widespread adoption and usage. Since the recent ban by China, BTCUSD has gone through a short selling phase. But the recent comments from the Fed Chair Powell indicated that the United States has no plans to follow China or ban crypto. Bitcoin is witnessing a steady increase in prices today in the European trading session.

Bitcoin is witnessing a continuous buying pressure across the major cryptocurrency exchanges worldwide, leading to a continuous surge in prices.

Technical Indicators:

Average direction change (14-day): at 34.157 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 620.67 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 314.80 indicating a BUY

StochRSI (14-day): at 58.88 indicating a BUY

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
EUR/USD and EUR/JPY: Euro Eyes Recovery

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EUR/USD extended its decline to 1.1565 before correcting higher. EUR/JPY is rising, but it is facing hurdles near 129.50 and 129.75.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

  • The Euro gained bearish momentum below 1.1650 and 1.1600.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.1600 on the hourly chart.
  • EUR/JPY is attempting a recovery wave above the 129.20 resistance level.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 129.00 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro started a major decline after it struggled to clear the 1.1750 resistance against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair broke the 1.1650 support zone to move into a bearish zone.

The pair even traded below the 1.1600 support and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near 1.1563 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a break above the 1.1600 level.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart
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The pair even spiked above the 1.1620 resistance level, but it faced a strong resistance near the 1.1640 level. A high was formed near 1.1639 and the pair corrected lower.

It traded below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1563 swing low to 1.1639 high. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.1600 on the hourly chart.

It is now consolidating near the 1.1590 level and below the 50 hourly simple moving average. An immediate resistance is near the 1.1600 level. The main resistance is forming near the 1.1640 and 1.1650 levels. A clear break above the 1.1650 resistance could push EUR/USD towards 1.1750.

On the downside, the 1.1665 level is a major support. Any more losses might lead EUR/USD towards the 1.1520 support zone in the near term. The next major support sits near the 1.1500 level.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
Facebook Stock Price Under Pressure After This Week’s Outage

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At the beginning of this trading week, Facebook suffered an outage that lasted for several hours and prevented the users of its apps and services, including Instagram, WhatsApp, and even the company’s website, from accessing them.

Facebook stock price dropped down, too. Investors reacted quickly by selling the stock short, as the outage has created a dangerous precedent.

Facebook makes most of its revenues from running ads on its platforms, mainly on Facebook, but also on Instagram. The shutdown of any of its income sources is a threat to the company’s future, and the fact that Facebook was not able to recover for several hours worried investors.

A faulty configuration change was responsible for the outage, according to Facebook. The big question is, could it happen again?

What Does Technical Analysis Say?

Truth be told, Facebook charts looked bearish well before this week’s shutdown. The stock price started trending higher after it broke out of a bullish triangle in spring, and did not look back all the way until it reached $380.

It climbed to record levels making a series of higher highs and higher lows, typical in rising trends. Technical traders can even spot a bullish channel, but one that is broken now.

Moreover, the price action is bearish at the moment because the decline caused by this week’s incident broke the higher lows series. Such a break is said to be bearish, as it signals the end of the previous bullish trend. Moving forward, support is not seen until the level of $300.

Facebook is to report its quarterly earnings on October 25, and the market expects EPS of $3.17. The company operates with a gross profit margin of 80.98%, much higher than the 51.07% sector median. Facebook stock price is up +21.89% this year.

FXOpen Blog
 
ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 07th OCT, 2021

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ETHUSD: Ether Above $3500

Ethereum is moving in a strong bullish momentum after crossing the $3500 handle, and any dip is reinforced with fresh buying pressure in ETHUSD. ETH is now on its path towards crossing the Fibonacci resistance levels of $3615 and classic resistance levels of $3644 today.

Ether is expected to maintain the bullish tone this week and continue towards the $4000 mark as the bulls take over. Today in the Asian trading session ETHUSD touched an intraday low of $3470.

ETH is now moving above both the 100 hourly and 200 hourly moving average. After reaching the $3600 level, prices are expected to consolidate towards $3550.

  • Ethereum is on a bullish run towards $3750
  • Short term to Medium term outlook remains bullish.
  • Staying above both the 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages
  • The ETHUSD is expected to cross $3850 in the opening of next week.

Ether Uptrend Channel Formations

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ETHUSD is moving in uptrend channel formations by staying above the $3500 levels. Ethereum is now on its path towards $3600 after clearing the 50-day moving average of $3500.82. The volatility in ETHUSD is lower today, and more trading volumes could be seen this week.

ETH gained 5.73% with a price change of +$196.88 in the past 24hrs, and has a trading volume of 22.478 billion USD.

The Week Ahead

Ethereum is moving in a bullish tone this week, and any dips are well supported, pushing its prices above the $3500 mark. A short-term correction is expected once the price reaches $3600 after which the path towards $4000 will be cleared.

Since the average direction change (14-day) is neutral, ETHUSD may enter into a consolidation or correction phase at any time; but the renewed buying pressure that is seen will steer its prices above $3600 today in the US trading session.

This week, ETH is expected to close above the $3800 level, and the trend will continue in the opening of the next week.

Technical Indicators:

StochRSI (9,6): at 63.86 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (14-day): at 18.72 indicating a BUY

Ultimate oscillator: at 61.79 indicating a BUY

Bulls/Bears power (13-day): at 18.187 indicating a BUY

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Eye More Upsides

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Gold price is trading in a positive zone above the $1,750 support. Crude oil price is gaining pace and it could rise further above $80.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil


  • Gold price started a decent increase above the $1,750 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,755 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price started a fresh rally from the $72.00 support zone.
  • There was a break above a short-term bearish trend line at $76.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,740 pivot level against the US Dollar. The price gained pace and it was able to settle above the $1,750 resistance zone.

A high was formed near $1,770 on FXOpen and the price corrected lower. There was a break below the $1,755 level, but the bulls remained active near $1,750. A low is formed near $1,745 and the price is now rising.

Gold Price Hourly Chart
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The price is back above the $1,750 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It also surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,770 swing high to $1,745 low.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $1,760 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,770 swing high to $1,745 low. The first major resistance is near the $1,762 level.

The main resistance is near the $1,770 level. A close above the $1,770 level could open the doors for a steady increase towards $1,800. The next major resistance sits near the $1,820 level. On the downside, an initial support is near the $1,755 level.

There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,755 on the hourly chart of gold. The first major support is near the $1,750 level. A downside break below the $1,750 support zone may possibly spark a steady decline. In the stated case, the price could test the $1,730 support.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
GBP/USD Eyes Upside Break While GBP/JPY Is Rising

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GBP/USD is rising and it could continue higher if there is a break above 1.3700. GBP/JPY is surging and it is trading above the 152.50 pivot level.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY


  • The British Pound traded as low as 1.3414 before it started an upside correction against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.3610 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • GBP/JPY gained pace and was able to clear the 152.50 resistance zone.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 152.20 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound extended its decline below the 1.3550 support level against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair even broke the 1.3500 and 1.3450 support levels.

It traded as low as 1.3414 on FXOpen before it started a decent increase. There was a steady increase above the 1.3500 resistance level. The price surpassed the 1.3550 resistance level, but it remained below the 50 hourly simple moving average.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart
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There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.3610 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. Besides, the pair surpassed the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the main decline from the 1.3912 swing high to 1.3414 low.

The pair even climbed above 1.3600 and retested the 1.3620 resistance levels. However, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.3660 level. It is also struggling near the 50% Fib retracement level of the main decline from the 1.3912 swing high to 1.3414 low.

A close above the 1.3660 level could open the doors for more gains. The next major hurdle is near 1.3700 and the 50 hourly SMA, above which the pair could surge towards 1.3800.

On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.3620 level. The next major support is near the 1.3550 level. If there is a break below the 1.3550 support, the pair could test the 1.3500 support. If there are additional losses, the pair could decline towards the 1.3420 level.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
Japanese Stocks Outperformed Their Peers in September. Will the Rally Continue?

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In September, financial markets celebrated the change in the Japanese leadership by sending up the stocks. Likewise, the news of the Japanese prime minister’s resignation has spurred a stock market rally, and in September, the TOPIX index outperformed its peers like NASDAQ or MSCI AC World Index.

Since a new prime minister was approved by the parliament, the stock market has been rallying on the news that the new leadership is preparing a new stimulus package to support economic recovery.

But there is something else behind the Japanese equities rally. As it turns out, the new prime minister, Fumio Kishida, is backing down on his talk of raising corporate taxes. The news has spurred a further rally in the stocks and a lowering of the Japanese yen.

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What About the Japanese Yen?

The Japanese yen has been dropping like a rock recently, as seen in the main JPY pairs like USD/JPY and EUR/JPY. USD/JPY, in particular, seems very strong. The market trades now close to 113, up close to 100 pips points since the start of the current trading week.

The move higher in the Japanese yen diverges from the rest of the financial markets. The yen is typically viewed as a risk-off currency, and the stock market decline in September failed to trigger a stronger yen. Instead, it correlates now with the Japanese equities.

Another factor driving Japanese equities higher is the successful vaccination campaign. While the campaign started slow, it is now fast approaching herd immunity levels.

All in all, the momentum in the Japanese equity market seems strong, fueled by local developments. Unless we see a major correction in the US equity markets that will be able to derail the Japanese yen trend, chances are that we will see more of the same in the months left in the trading year.

FXOpen Blog
 
BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 12th OCT, 2021

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BTCUSD: Rising Uptrend Channel Above $54K

Bitcoin continues to gain momentum and is now moving in a rising uptrend channel formation above $54000. BTCUSD continues its bullish run today in the European trading session, having crossed the level of $57000. Bitcoin is trading above both 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages. The rally in the BTC continues with fresh buying support seen after it touched an intraday low of $56439 today in the Asian trading session.

The medium to long term outlook for bitcoin remains bullish with immediate targets for today at $58500.

Commodity channel index (14-day) and ultimate oscillator are both indicating a BUY at the current market levels of $57450.

  • Bitcoin crossed its major resistance levels of $51357 and continues to remain above these levels.
  • BTCUSD short-term correction is expected towards $56000 today in the US trading session.
  • The price is now trading above its pivot levels of $57314.
  • A high relative strength (RSI) of 58.60 is a sign of overbought levels.

Bitcoin’s Rally Towards $60K Confirmed
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BTCUSD price may also get into a consolidation phase below $57000 today in the US trading session. Bitcoin dips are well supported this week and the price remains above its classic support levels of $56454 and Fibonacci support levels of $56773. Now the price of bitcoin needs to clear the Woodie’s resistance level of $58029 after which the path towards $62000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs BTCUSD is up by +1.43% at +1057$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 40.167 billion.

Bitcoin Gaining Traction

There has been an increased demand for bitcoin from Central and Latin America after the adoption of bitcoin as legal tender by El Salvador. The increase in the number of peer to peer (P2P) transactions seen in both Central and Latin America is fueling the demand for bitcoin and its wide scale adoption and usage.

Bitcoin dips remain well supported with increased buying pressure seen above $54000. The demand for bitcoin remains at an all-time high on major cryptocurrency exchanges worldwide.

The Week Ahead

The price of BTCUSD is moving between the support level of $52000 and its major resistance level of $63500. Now, if the bull run continues, we will see BTCUSD printing at above $60000, but if the bearish correction starts, the prices will go down towards the $55000 handle.

Since the medium-term outlook remains bullish, we will see BTCUSD closing above $60000 this week and crossing the levels of $62000 in the opening of next week.

Technical Indicators:

Relative strength index (14-day): at 58.60 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 419.85 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 248.30 indicating a BUY

StochRSI (9,6): at 98.69 indicating overbought levels.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
EUR/USD Continues To Struggle, USD/JPY Gains Momentum

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EUR/USD extended its decline and traded close to 1.1520. USD/JPY is rising and it might continue to climb above the 114.00 level.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY


  • The Euro started a major decline below the 1.1650 and 1.1600 support levels.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • USD/JPY started a fresh increase and it cleared the 112.00 resistance zone.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 112.65 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Euro started another decline below the 1.1650 support against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair traded below the 1.1600 support to move into a bearish zone.

The pair even broke the 1.1580 level and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low is formed near 1.1524 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating losses. An immediate resistance is near the 1.1560 level.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart
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There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The next major resistance is near the 1.1615 level.

The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the 1.1899 swing high to 1.1524 low is also near the 1.1615 level. The first key resistance is near the 1.1670 level. The main resistance is near the 1.1720 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the 1.1899 swing high to 1.1524 low. A clear break above the 1.1720 zone could open the doors for a larger increase.

If there is no break above 1.1615, the pair might continue to move down. An immediate support is near the 1.1540. The next major support is near 1.1500, below which the pair could drop towards the 1.1450 support in the near term.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 14th OCT, 2021

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ETHUSD: Bullish Momentum Towards $4000

Ethereum has broken out of an important psychological resistance level of $3500 and is now moving in a strong bullish momentum towards the $4000 handle. ETHUSD touched an intraday high of $3662 in the European trading session today.

ETH is now trading above its pivot levels of $3628 and Camarilla resistance levels of $3633, with the price surging continuously and getting ready to break its classic resistance levels of $3654.

Ether is expected to maintain the bullish tone this week and continue towards the $4000 mark as the bulls take over. All the technical indicators are giving a BUY signal.

ETH is now moving above both the 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages. Before touching the $4000 handle, a contraction in prices is expected this week.

  • Ethereum is consolidating its gains with a firm bullish tone
  • Short term to medium term outlook remains bullish for ETHUSD
  • All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal
  • The pair is expected to touch $3800 in the US trading session today

Ether Consolidating Its Gains

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ETHUSD is forming an uptrend continuation pattern which signifies that a breakout could occur at any time, pushing the prices above the $4000 handle. At the start of the Asian trading session, volatility was low, but then the demand increased leading to the surge in the price.

ETH has gained 5.62% with a price change of +$193.78 in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 16.861 billion USD.

Ethereum For Investors

Ethereum is gaining more acceptance as an investment option for long-term appreciation, leading to higher demand. The upside potential for Ethereum is higher than bitcoin in terms of percentage gains, the reason why many bitcoin investors are now turning to Ethereum.

ETHUSD was priced at $586 during the same period in October 2020, and with the current market prices of $3644, a gain of 621% is observed. Some crypto analysts have cited Ethereum as a better investment alternative to gold.

The Week Ahead

Ethereum buying pressure is increasing today. The prices could reach the $4000 mark this week. There is no visible contraction in the prices of Ether today, but in the coming days, we could see some short-term bearish corrections towards the $3500 level.

Ethereum midterm range is positive and any dips will remain as an attractive buying opportunity for long term traders.

This week, ETH is expected to close above $3900 level. The trend will most likely continue in the opening of next week.

Technical Indicators:

Relative strength index (14-day): at 66.41 indicating a BUY

Commodity channel index (14-day): at 70.69 indicating a BUY

Rate of price change: at 3.581 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 38.79 indicating a BUY

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
AUD/USD and NZD/USD Target Additional Gains

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AUD/USD started a fresh increase above the 0.7320 resistance zone. NZD/USD also climbed higher and it might continue to rise towards the 0.7120 level.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD


  • The Aussie Dollar started a steady increase above the 0.7320 hurdle against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a key declining channel with resistance near 0.7350 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
  • NZD/USD also gained pace after it broke the 0.6970 resistance.
  • There is a key rising channel forming with support near 0.7040 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

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The Aussie Dollar found formed a base above the 0.7280 level and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair broke the 0.7300 and 0.7320 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The pair even broke the 0.7350 and 0.7380 resistance levels. There was a break above a key declining channel with resistance near 0.7350 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. The pair even cleared the 0.7400 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

A high was formed near 0.7424 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 0.7323 swing low to 0.7424 high.

An initial support on the downside is near the 0.7400 level. The next major support is near the 0.7370 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 0.7323 swing low to 0.7424 high.

If there is a downside break below the 0.7370 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7330 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

An immediate resistance is near the 0.7425 level. The next major resistance is near the 0.7440 level. A close above the 0.7440 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7500.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
GBP/USD Eyes More Upsides, USD/CAD Faces Hurdles

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GBP/USD started a fresh increase from the 1.3400 support zone. USD/CAD is declining, and it is facing resistance near 1.2400.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD


  • The British Pound found support above 1.3400 and started a fresh increase.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3690 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • USD/CAD started a major decline from well above the 1.2550 zone.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2395 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

After a major decline, the British Pound found support above 1.2400 against the US Dollar. GBP/USD traded as low as 1.3410 and recently started an upside correction.

The pair broke the 1.3500 resistance to move into a positive zone. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3907 swing high to 1.3410 low. It is now trading above the 1.3650 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart
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GBP/USD is now consolidating above the 1.3680 level. The pair is also trading above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3907 swing high (formed on FXOpen) to 1.3410 low.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.3770 level. The first major resistance is near the 1.3800 level. If there is an upside break above the 1.3800 zone, the pair could rise towards 1.3900. The next key resistance could be 1.3920, above which the pair could gain strength.

On the downside, the first key support is near the 1.3680 area. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3690 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

If there is a break below 1.3680, the pair could decline extend its decline. The next key support is near the 1.3620 level. Any more losses might call for a test of the 1.3550 support.

Read Full on FXOpen Company Blog...
 
Bitcoin Trades Back Above $60,000, Eyes New Record Highs

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Cryptocurrency traders and investors are cheering the recent bitcoin rally. The leading cryptocurrency is trading back above $60,000, coming close to a new all-time high.

The most recent data related to the crypto market size explains why bitcoin has attracted so many buyers in the latest months. The global crypto market size keeps growing, with more and more people shifting their gaze to crypto assets. In a single month, from May to June 2021, the crypto market added 18 million new users. Because bitcoin is the most popular coin, it is likely that the new funds injected into the crypto space went to it.

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Bullish Developments in the Crypto Space

Besides the increased popularity in the cryptocurrency space, as suggested by the rising number of crypto users, some other recent bitcoin-related events can be characterized as bullish.

One comes from the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC). It is poised to approve the first-ever bitcoin ETF, which would open the space to a much wider investors base. This news alone was largely responsible for bitcoin’s recent rally. An ETF is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the price movements of its underlying – in this case, bitcoin. Investors favor ETFs due to them being a cost-efficient way of trading expensive assets.

Another such driver is the Bank of America’s decision to introduce coverage of digital assets as the cryptocurrency market reached $2 trillion in market value.

The recent developments triggered enthusiasm among crypto traders, and so the crypto market continues to rise. In the meantime, bitcoin has surpassed Facebook in terms of market value and is on track to take the silver.

Bitcoin traded close to $65,000 back in April this year, and it corrected after Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, suggested that the digital asset is too expensive. The current upwards movement also helps Tesla, as the company holds more than $1 billion worth of bitcoins on its balance sheet.

FXOpen Blog
 
BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 19th OCT, 2021

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BTCUSD: Bitcoin Rally Towards $65k Confirmed

Bitcoin continues to consolidate its gains and has touched a 6-month high of $62,965 in the Asian trading session. Since the price of BTC has already crossed its major resistance levels of $62,232 today, we may see some consolidation in the levels towards sub $62,000 handle in the US trading session.

Bitcoin is trading above its both 100 hourly and 200 hourly moving averages. The rally in BTC continues with fresh buying support seen after it touched an intraday low of $61,100 today in the early Asian trading session.

Bitcoin is moving in a strong bullish momentum, and a fresh rally is expected to push its prices above the $65,000 handle this week.

The medium to long-term outlook for bitcoin remains bullish with immediate targets for today at $63,200.

  • Bitcoin is holding above its major resistance levels of $58,462, indicating more upsides
  • Consolidation in the prices is expected after touching a 6-month high towards $61,400 level
  • The price is now trading above its classic support level of $61,860
  • All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal at current market levels of $62,108

Bitcoin Consolidating Its Gains Above $60k
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BTCUSD is gaining momentum. Its price continues to remain above the important psychological level of $60k. At the moment, the price of BTCUSD is facing a Fibonacci resistance level of $62,531, and Woodies resistance level of $62,798, after which the path towards $63,000 will be cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has risen UP by +0.83% / +825$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 39.152 billion.

Bitcoin Acceptance Increases

The global acceptance of bitcoin is growing. The number of BTC transactions continues to increase, which leads to its higher demand on cryptocurrency exchanges.

This year, residents of Brazil have bought 4 billion USD worth of crypto, including bitcoin. Brazil is expected to pass a bill to legalize bitcoin as legal tender.

Investments in bitcoin are expected to grow as well, with the listing of bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs). Some crypto analysts believe that bitcoin ETFs will allow billions of dollars managed by pension funds and other institutional investors to flow into bitcoin.

The Week Ahead

The price of BTCUSD is holding above $60,000, and after some consolidation, the bullish uptrend movement will start pushing its price above the $63,000 handle.

If the prices of BTCUSD continue to remain above the $63,000 mark this week, we may see a fresh rally towards $65,000 in the markets in the opening of the next week.

Both the medium- and long-term outlooks remain positive. Next week, we may witness BTC printing at above the $65,000 mark.

Technical Indicators:

Ultimate oscillator: at 58.88 indicating a BUY

Rate of price change (ROC): at 0.653 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 228.80 indicating a BUY

Relative strength index (14-day): at 55.39 indicating a BUY

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EUR/USD Eyes Recovery, USD/CHF Could Break Higher

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EUR/USD started a fresh rise above the 1.1620 resistance zone. USD/CHF is eyeing an upside break above the 0.9260 resistance zone in the near term.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF


  • The Euro started a fresh recovery wave above the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1605 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • USD/CHF started a decent increase from the 0.9185 support zone.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.9250 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro formed a base above the 1.1530 zone against the US Dollar. As a result, the EUR/USD pair started a fresh increase above the 1.1550 and 1.1560 resistance levels.

The pair was able to clear the 1.1600 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It even spiked above 1.1650 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1669 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting lower.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart
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There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1572 swing low to 1.1669 high. It is now consolidating near the 1.1635 level and above the 50 hourly simple moving average. An immediate support is near the 1.1625 level.

It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1572 swing low to 1.1669 high. The next major support is near the 1.1605 level. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1605 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

A downside break below the 1.1600 support could start another decline. The next major support sits near 1.1550. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.1650 level.

The main resistance is near 1.1665. If there is an upside break above the 1.1665 resistance zone, the price could rise steadily towards the 1.1720 resistance zone.

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ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 21st OCT, 2021

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ETHUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $4000

Ethereum is moving in a strong bullish momentum after clearing the psychological resistance level of $4000. The price of ETHUSD touched an intraday high of $4241 in the Asian trading session and is now preparing for its next rally towards the $5000 handle.

ETH is now trading above its pivot level of $4157 and Fibonacci resistance level of $4169. The price of Ethereum is surging continuously today and is about to break its classic resistance level of $4206.

Ether is expected to maintain the bullish tone this week and continue towards the $4500 mark as the bulls take over. All the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal.

ETH is now moving above both the 100 hourly and 200 hourly simple moving averages. Bullish engulfing pattern above $4000 suggests that we could witness a fresh rally towards $5000 soon.

  • Ethereum continues to remain above the psychological level of $4000
  • Short-term to medium-term outlooks remain bullish for ETHUSD
  • All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal
  • The pair is expected to touch $4500 in the US trading session today

Ether’s Rally Towards $5000 Confirmed

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ETHUSD is consolidating its gains above $4000 and is now preparing for its next upwards move against the US dollar. ETH is now facing its next major resistance levels of $4240 and $4320, after which the path towards $4500 will get cleared.

After surging above $4000, Ethereum’s volatility is low, suggesting that now investors are waiting to enter the market anticipating a major bullish move.

ETH has gained 8.79% with a price change of +$339.35 in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 24.516 billion USD.

Ethereum ETF

The total market capitalization of Ethereum continues to increase, and at present is valued at 455 billion USD. The investors are eagerly waiting for the launch of Ethereum ETF in the US markets, which would bring a larger number of investors into its domain.

Grayscale has announced its plans to launch an ETF based on Ethereum. At the moment, 4 Ethereum ETFs are trading in Canadian securities exchange, and plans are on to launch in the US market.

Some crypto analysts believe that with the Ethereum ETFs, more institutional investors will come in, leading to its higher demand and a surge in the price well above $6000.

The Week Ahead

Ethereum dips remain well supported, and an increased buying pressure is seen above the $4000 mark. The bullish trend continues from last week. Any bearish corrections will serve as a buying opportunity for long-term traders.

This week we may witness Ethereum touching the levels of $4500 — and then extending its rally towards the $5000 handle in the opening of the next week.

As the price of ETHUSD remains above its 100 hourly exponential moving average, a breakout above $4400 is expected this week.

Technical Indicators:

Average directional change (14-day): at 48.125 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 47.63 indicating a BUY

Rate of price change: at 1.148 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 66.36 indicating a BUY

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Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Eye Upside Break

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Gold price is facing resistance near $1,790 and $1,800. Crude oil price remains elevated above the key $80.00 pivot level and it is eyeing more upsides.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil


  • Gold price started a decent increase above the $1,760 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near $1,785 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price extended its rally towards the $83.70 level before it started a downside correction.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $81.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,750 pivot level against the US Dollar. The price gained pace and it was able to settle above the $1,780 resistance zone.

A high was formed near $1,800 on FXOpen and the price corrected lower. There was a break below the $1,780 and $1,775 levels. However, the bulls were active above the $1,750 level. A low was formed near $1,760 and the price is now rising.

Gold Price Hourly Chart
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The price is back above the $1,780 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It also surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the key drop from the $1,800 swing high to $1,760 low.

There was also a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near $1,785 on the hourly chart of gold. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $1,788 and $1,790 levels. It is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the key drop from the $1,800 swing high to $1,760 low.

The first major resistance is near the $1,792 level. The main resistance is near the $1,800 level. A close above the $1,800 level could open the doors for a move towards $1,820.

On the downside, the first major support is near the $1,782 level and the 50 SMA. A downside break below the $1,762 support zone may possibly call for a test of the $1,765 support zone in the near term.

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GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Aim More Upsides

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GBP/USD is eyeing an upside break above the 1.3820 resistance zone. EUR/GBP is rising and it could gain pace if it clears the 0.8465 resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP


  • The British Pound was able to gain pace above the 1.3700 and 1.3750 resistance levels.
  • There is a key rising channel forming with support near 1.3760 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • EUR/GBP formed a support base above 0.8420 and started a fresh increase.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8440 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a major increase from the 1.3440 support zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair traded above the 1.3600 resistance zone to move into a positive zone.

The pair even broke the 1.3750 resistance zone and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. It even spiked above 1.3800 and traded as high as 1.3835. GBP/USD is now correcting gains and trading below 1.3800.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart
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An immediate support is near the 1.3760 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3413 swing low to 1.3835 high.

It is now consolidating near the 1.3780 level. There is also a key rising channel forming with support near 1.3760 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. A downside break below the channel support might even push the pair below the 1.3700 support zone.

The next major support is near the 1.3650 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3413 swing low to 1.3835 high is also near the 1.3650 zone.

Any more downsides might call for a move towards the 1.3600 level. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near 1.3820. If there is an upside break above the 1.3820 resistance, the price could surpass 1.3850.

The next main resistance is near the 1.3920 zone, above which the pair could rise towards the 1.4000 level in the near term.

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